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October 22, 2014
GOP Now +8 On AP Generic Ballot Among Likely Voters, Exceeding 2010's +7 Mark
Plus 8 is pretty good.
Erick Erickson notes that we're in a 2010 type environment.
Two of the polls that got 2012 right were the Associated Press/GfK poll and the Reuters/Ipsos poll. According to Reuters, the President is at 61% disapproval among likely voters. In the Associated Press poll, 60% of likely voters disapprove of the President. Further, the AP poll has the GOP ahead by eight percentage points in the generic ballot. For perspective, the AP had the GOP ahead by +7 in 2010. Even female voters are moving toward the GOP.
Jim Geraghty seized on that finding.
Geraghty quotes from the AP's analysis of its poll:
Women have moved in the GOP’s direction since September. In last month’s AP-GfK poll, 47 percent of female likely voters said they favored a Democratic-controlled Congress while 40 percent wanted the Republicans to capture control. In the new poll, the two parties are about even among women, 44 percent prefer the Republicans, 42 percent the Democrats.
Meanwhile, Josh Kraushaar reports that Democrats are beginning to snipe at the White House over its "ineptitude."
The relationship between the White House and Senate Democrats hit a new low Tuesday evening after the administration's press office released a transcript of first lady Michelle Obama's appearance in Iowa on behalf of Democratic Senate candidate Bruce Braley. The problem: The subject line of the e-mail referred to Braley as the "Democratic candidate for governor."
The botch came after the first lady repeatedly referred to the Democratic Senate nominee as "Bruce Bailey" in a campaign appearance earlier this month--and it took an attendee in the crowd to correct her mistake....
Indicating the sensitivity of the ["candidate for Governor"] mistake, top Senate Democratic officials wasted no time lashing out at the Obama administration's political team in response, suggesting it was acting like a junior varsity operation two weeks before the midterms....
"The ineptitude of the White House political operation has sunk from annoying to embarrassing," one senior Senate Democratic aide told National Journal.
But the Democrats aren't sunk yet: A campaign called "F*ckH8" has a bunch of little girls boosting "feminism" by saying the f-word a bunch.