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January 22, 2014

War on Women: Unemployed XXers Split on Congressional Generic Ballot

It should surprise nobody that the GWU-Battleground Poll is my personal favorite. The combined effort of the Tarrance Group and Lake Research, it has almost 400 pages worth of cross tabs, and the latest release has a real doozy buried within on the generic ballot question (overall, Republicans have a two-point edge). Unemployed men are planning to vote one-point more Republican than their employed counterparts. Among women, however, who overall break by six for the Democrats, and whose employed subset break 48-34 for the Democrats, unemployed women split evenly, 41-41.

A point is nothing, but a fourteen-point disparity? A few folks on Twitter wondered if stay-at-home Moms were included in that, possibly mucking the result, and the must-follow Logan Dobson clarified promptly:

@MichaelWatsonVA @ConArtCritic @AceofSpadesHQ the question specifically asks "employed outside the home", so no http://t.co/4VvVn5Pd5o (D15)
— Logan Dobson (@LoganDobson) January 22, 2014

As soon as I can get a hard link, I'll try to attach the crosstabs for you poll junkies. Moderates break narrowly for the Republicans and Hispanics are evenly split, two groups Republicans have been trying to win over. But if I were a Republican looking for a small bloc showing surprising favor (and a means of hammering back against the idiotic "WoW"), there you go.

posted by CAC at 01:46 PM

| Access Comments


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Unemployed men are planning to vote one-point more Republican than their employed counterparts. Among women, however, who overall break by six for the Democrats, and whose employed subset break 48-34 for the Democrats, unemployed women split evenly, 41-41. A point is nothing, but a fourteen-point disparity? A few folks on Twitter wondered if stay-at-home Moms were included in that, possibly mucking the result, and the must-follow Logan Dobson clarified promptly: @MichaelWatsonVA @ConArtCritic @AceofSpadesHQ the question specifically asks "employed outside the home", so no http://t.co/4VvVn5Pd5o (D15) — Logan Dobson (@LoganDobson) January 22, 2014 As soon as I can get a hard link, I'll try to attach the crosstabs for you poll junkies. Moderates break narrowly for the Republicans and Hispanics are evenly split, two groups Republicans have been trying to win over. But if I were a Republican looking for a small bloc showing surprising favor (and a means of hammering back against the idiotic "WoW"), there you go. posted by CAC at 01:46 PM \| Access Comments <script language="javascript" src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/addyn/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=700;cookie=info;target=_blank;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]"></script><noscript><a href="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adlink/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" target="_blank"><img src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adserv/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" border="0" width="300" height="250"></a></noscript>	Recent Comments pawn (on his new laptop!!!): "So would you rather have him hanging out and messi ..." IRONGRAMPA: "Good morning, good people, from the Frigidrondacks ..." publius, Rascally Mr. Miley (w6EFb): " Darn, missed the solstice. It was at 09:21Z, 4: ..." Skip : "Have snow ground cover hete ..." 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