Sponsored Content
« CAC's Spaced Out Challenge: A Triple Planet Treat, Bees & a Peek at ISON | Main | Top Headline Comments 5-23-13 »
May 22, 2013

Overnight Open Thread (5-22-2013)

A Trick Question

You're Mitt Romney and it's October 31, 2012 and a witch comes to you and says, "I can help you win 72 percent of the Hispanic vote or give you an extra 4 points of the white vote." Which one do you pick?

Looking at the raw politics of the immigration debate, it's amazing to me that more GOP pros haven't asked themselves some version of this and then bothered to run the numbers to find out which is best for them.

The answer is here (select to see):

But what if Romney had been able to reach a mind-blowing 70 percent of the Hispanic vote? Surely that would have meant victory, right? No, it wouldn't. Romney still would have lost, although by the narrowest of electoral margins, 270 to 268. (Under that scenario, Romney would have won the popular vote but lost in the Electoral College; he could have racked up huge numbers of Hispanic votes in California, New York and Texas, for example, and not changed the results in those states.)

According to the Times' calculator, Romney would have had to win 73 percent of the Hispanic vote to prevail in 2012. Which suggests that Romney, and Republicans, had bigger problems than Hispanic voters.

The Great 'Naturally Conservative' Hispanic Vote

Doesn't seem all that likely to vote for republicans and more importantly doesn't appear to change who it votes for according to major immigration debates or reform.

Here is the Republican share of the Hispanic vote in those elections:
    1980: 38 percent
    1984: 37 percent
    1988: 30 percent
    1992: 29 percent
    1996: 23 percent
    2000: 36 percent
    2004: 43 percent (probably more like 38 percent)
    2008: 32 percent
    2012: 28 percent

Meanwhile the Immigration bill just gets better and better: Detained Illegal Immigrants Now Get Free Attorneys


The Deck of American Agitprop

Via The People's Cube

all_cards_scrnsht_600

What Happens When You Try to Carjack an Armed Citizen

10 Banned Music Videos

"This is Water"

The is the video version of David Foster Wallace's commencement speech to the 2005 class of Kenyon College explaining what adult life is really like. I'm not quite sure I agree with his ending conclusion but it is interesting and quite different from your usual boring graduation speeches.

Bill Burr - Epidemic of Gold Digging Whores

On what it's like to live life with a penis constantly undermining you. It's far worse when you're a rich and famous man.

Brooklyn Bar Holding Smallest Penis Contest

Do you think your micro penis is the itsy-bitsyest in all of Brooklyn? Then Kings County Bar wants you to sign up for their first annual Smallest Penis in Brooklyn pageant! It's the ultimate wet t-shirt contest for infinitesimal penises.

"The Contest" will be held on Saturday, July 20th starting at 5 p.m. at the bar, located at 286 Siegel Street near the Morgan Avenue L train. The event is open to anyone 21 and over; photo and video submissions will not be accepted, no matter how much you want to send them. Oddly, you don't have to worry about being completely nude, even if you are totally proud of your lilliputian penis: "While nudity is not required, contestants should expect to wear wet underwear (which will be provided)."

51713smallpenis

Teh Tweet!

Yahoo group. That is all.

Tonight's post brought to you by The Cycle:

tumblr_mn0n0lo8mf1qz4s6ho1_500

Notice: Posted by permission of AceCorp LLC. Please e-mail overnight open thread tips to maetenloch at gmail. Otherwise send tips to Ace.

digg this
posted by Maetenloch at 09:42 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
REDACTED: "Elon is showing off his qualifications for prezzy ..."

Democrat Party: "DHS Is "Trafficking" Children Into Sex Rings ..."

First Son: ""No Yellow", he finally declared. ..."

Chuck Martel: "Did Elon underestimate the Garland gnome? ..."

Jane D'oh: "No more word from him since the 40 minute thing ? ..."

JT: "Looks like I qualify for some of those $266,000 re ..."

Alejandro Nicholas Mayorkas: " I've been trying to figure out where all the Ille ..."

Romeo13: "Uh, I just got a Calif tax rebate... sent me a Car ..."

Nevergiveup: "The list of people not paying your mortgage is pre ..."

Jerry Rivers: "finally, someone is going to take my place on the ..."

illiniwek: "" who is 'Aiding and Abetting Illegal Aliens'... w ..."

Nevergiveup: "The Israeli Press, which like the us press is most ..."

Recent Entries
Search


Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64