Claim: Demographics Favor... the GOP

This flies against everything I've heard, which is why I'm linking it. I'm not at all certain this is correct -- again, because all I ever hear about is the inevitability of a dominant liberal coalition -- but such a surprising claim deserves some airing.

Here's the big caveat to the claim: Except for illegal immigration. Which might be why your friendly neighborhood Democratic Party is so determined to bring in millions of newly-minted voters with higher-than-replacement-level birth rates.

As shown by demographer Eric Kaufman of the University of London, religious couples across all cultures are for obvious reasons (including but not limited to abortion) having more children per family than are the secular-irreligious, whose birthrates are below replacement — which means a declining population.

"After 2020," says Kaufman, the devoutly religious of all faiths "will begin to tip the culture wars to the conservative side."

posted by Ace at 01:47 PM

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