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November 06, 2012

OFFICIAL AOSHQDD ELECTION NIGHT RETURNS

Obama Wins.
I'm getting drunk and enjoying my hot wife.
It stops the sobbing.


Ace of Spades HQ Decision Desk is live.

President, House and Senate races are being tracked all through the night.

This should be your go-to source for calls, hopefully ahead of the traditional media outlets, using my team of volunteers covering every state.

Follow @AOSHQDDPREZ @AOSHQDDHOUSE @AOSHQSEN for interesting developments too throughout the night.

Much much moar below the fold


How calls will work:
Once I am confident a state will break one way or another, either from exit poll data and initial returns or the raw data trickling in, the state will be CALLED.
Called states in the Senate and President race will be colored in solid, and their electoral votes will then be allocated to the winner.

What to watch out for:
Two big things.
Ohio's early vote and absentees are going to go online first, per the Secretary of State. Since this bloc favors Obama tremendously, don't croak if Obama comes out of the gate in the Buckeye with a large lead. Truth be told, Strickland seemed to be putting on a fight in 2010, but lost narrowly after all the exurban and rural votes came in.

That brings me to the second thing, Pennsylvania. If the state goes to Romney, it won't be obvious for a very long time. In 2010, Toomey trailed for much of the evening as the Philadelphia and Allegheny numbers flooded in, only to be eaten away by the central and suburban county votes. The same is likely to happen tonight as well.

An enormous shout-out to the one hundred volunteers humming away behind the scenes and compiling data, to Luis (@projectiondesk) and Joel (@ningrim) for covering and calling Senate and House races, to Ace for giving me the opportunity to conduct this grand experiment, and to Mrs. CAC who is fetching me coffee, Jameson and helping me check and call states throughout the evening. Give some love to John Ekdahl as well, the mastermind of the map and site design, without whom I'd be left uploading goofy maps to tinypic.

TIMELINE OF CLOSING TIMES FOR THE EVENING:

7PM EST/ 4PM PST
GEORGIA
INDIANA
KENTUCKY
SOUTH CAROLINA
VERMONT
VIRGINIA

730PM EST/ 430PM PST
NORTH CAROLINA
OHIO
WEST VIRGINIA

800PM EST/ 5OOPM PST
ALABAMA
CONNECTICUT
DELAWARE
FLORIDA
ILLINOIS
MAINE
MARYLAND
MASSACHUSETTS
MISSISSIPPI
MISSOURI
NEW HAMPSHIRE
NEW JERSEY
OKLAHOMA
PENNSYLVANIA
RHODE ISLAND
TENNESSEE
WASHINGTON DC

830PM EST/ 530PM PST
ARKANSAS

900PM EST/ 600PM PST
ARIZONA
COLORADO
KANSAS
LOUISIANA
MICHIGAN
NEBRASKA
NEW MEXICO
NEW YORK
SOUTH DAKOTA
TEXAS
WISCONSIN
WYOMING

1000PM EST/ 700PM PST
IOWA
MONTANA
NEVADA
UTAH

1100PM EST/ 800PM PST
CALIFORNIA
HAWAII
IDAHO
NORTH DAKOTA
OREGON
WASHINGTON

0100AM EST/ 1000PM PST
ALASKA

Races called (Presidential mainly)

iUPDATES
First KY and IN numbers trickling in, stuck between 2 time zones so no calls until 7pm

FIRST FOUR STATES
ROMNEY 44 EVS- SC GA IN KY
OBAMA 3 EVS - VT

digg this
posted by CAC at 08:56 PM

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