|
||
Intermarkets' Privacy Policy Support
Donate to Ace of Spades HQ! Recent Entries
Mid-Morning Art Thread
The Morning Report — 6/9/23 Daily Tech News 9 June 2023 Nobody Goes To The ONT Anymore. It's Too Crowded Baby Bat Cafe Joe Biden Was Allegedly Paid $5 Million By... The Burisma Board, Document Hidden by FBI Claims Claim: Disney Is So Strapped For Cash That They're Wargaming Out a Sale of LucasFilm THE FBI ASKED TWITTER TO BAN THE ACCOUNTS OF AMERICAN AND CANADIAN JOURNALISTS WHO CRITICIZE UKRAINE -- AT THE BEHEST OF UKRAINE'S MAIN INTELLIGENCE SERVICE Suspect in Natalee Halloway's Disappearance -- Murder, Really -- En Route to US After Peru Agrees to Extradite Fox Notifies Tucker Carlson That Posting a Ten Minute Monologue on Twitter Breaches His Contract Absent Friends
westminsterdogshow 2023
Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022 Dave In Texas 2022 Jesse in D.C. 2022 OregonMuse 2022 redc1c4 2021 Tami 2021 Chavez the Hugo 2020 Ibguy 2020 Rickl 2019 Joffen 2014 Cutting The Cord And Email Security
Moron Meet-Ups
NoVaMoMe 2023:
06/10/2023
Registration closes May 31st. Texas MoMe 2021: 10/2o/2023-10/21/2023 Corsicana,TX Contact Ben Had for info |
« Dan Rather: Hey, The Ohio GOP Could Steal The State and The Election, Just Like They Did in 2004 |
Main
| Suffolk University Poll, Ohio: Tied, 47-47 Update: Reuters IPSOS Ohio: 46-46, Tie » October 22, 2012
Gallup: Romney 51, Obama 45; With Registered Voters, 48-47Corrected: It's 51-45, not 51-46 as I headlined. The "six" was in my head from "six point lead." Romney loses a point from both overnight. Still seeing an anti-Obama bounce from the debate. A poll last week claimed something like 39% of women rated abortion as the most important issue. Gallup says that's just not true-- women rate the economy and jobs as the top issues, at about the same percentages that men do, followed by the federal deficit and healthcare. Abortion is cited as the top issue by 1% of women. There's a 1% for ya. Molly Ball wrote in The Atlantic (link to Hot Air): Unlike their more conservative cohorts, these women agreed that abortion is not any of the federal government’s business. But they also didn’t believe abortion rights were on the line in the coming election. “It has never changed,” Zebib said. “We’ve had pro-life presidents many times, and it didn’t change. It’s a bumper sticker. They try to divert our attention.” But of course it's not really meant to. It's meant to charge up the Democratic base. I don't think Obama has much hope of winning Independents. His best play is to make the election a stinkbomb of tiny partisan appeals that Indepdendents just aren't interested in... so they stay home. For Obama, the election is solely about churning out the base, preferably in numbers exceeding 2008. (Though that seems very unlikely.) I keep quoting Larry Sabato's analysis from two months ago: he data in Table 1 show that compared with voters supporting a candidate, swing voters were disproportionately white and female. They were also much more likely to describe themselves as completely independent and much less likely to describe themselves as Democrats or independents leaning toward the Democratic Party. But the most dramatic differences between swing voters and voters supporting a candidate involved their opinions about President Obama and their enthusiasm about voting in 2012. Romney's mission is a little more complicated than Obama's. He'd like to turn out Independents (inclined to vote against Obama) and the Republican base. Brit Hume observed: My thought about that would be that Romney will undoubtedly run a lot of ads that add up to saying that, and he will say it a lot himself and so will his surrogates on the campaign trail,” Hume said. “I think Romney has — look, I think Obama’s record is such a burden to him that he has no real choice but to go negative and go negative hard, which to a great extent he has.” Which is what Romney seems to be doing, or trying to do. Obama's running on fear -- attempting to scare the crap out of his base because he can't run on hope and change anymore, and he certainly can't run on results. So his only play is #waronwomen and #hesnotoneofus and the rest of the partisan/client group micro-appeals. The guy actually running on hope -- hope for a real change in our circumstance -- is Romney. Ahead of the Game: From the sidebar, @rdbrewer4 notes that Romney is running ahead of most other election-winners at this point in their respective cycles, including Barack Obama. At least in Gallup. Politico/GWU Battleground Poll... Old news but might as well note it here -- Romney has moved into a 49-47 lead in the battleground states. Unfortunately he is narrowly but persistently behind in Ohio. There's a bit of math which says that if the national vote winner wins by 1.5% or more, there is barely any mathematical chance he can lose the electoral college. Unfortunately, I think this is one of those cycles where this is most likely. Ohio is so stubbornly -- at least so far -- in Obama's corner, and that's a state Romney really does need. Without it, Romney would have to pick up some other difficult state. Although he can still win, even losing Ohio, if he picks up Nevada, Iowa, Colorado and New Hampshire. (Another possibility is if he wins Nevada, Iowa, Colorado and one of Maine's four EV's-- then he'd hit 270 exactly.) You can play with the interactive map at 270towin.com to game these things out. | Recent Comments
tubal:
"396 Could someone here direct me to the ace commen ..."
Sponge - F*ck Joe Biden: "Damn distractions...... ..." Joe Mannix (Not a cop!): "Could someone here direct me to the ace comment ye ..." Jeff Spicoli: "[i] I was talking about the RV park, which is som ..." Maj. Healey: "Good morning everyone. Target (TGT) stock downgr ..." Gref: "285 "The average temperature of the contiguous U.S ..." tubal: "Could someone here direct me to the ace comment ye ..." sniffybigtoe: "So, did the FBI have the Biden bribery information ..." Village Idiot's Apprentice: ""Buc-ee's has people assigned to bathroom detail. ..." [/i][/b]andycanuck (Vwz3I)[/s][/u]: "Oilfield Rando @Oilfield_Rando · 12h At leas ..." JT: "Thanks again JJ ! ..." People's Hippo Voice: "It's civil war when the state wins. It's a revo ..." Recent Entries
Mid-Morning Art Thread
The Morning Report — 6/9/23 Daily Tech News 9 June 2023 Nobody Goes To The ONT Anymore. It's Too Crowded Baby Bat Cafe Joe Biden Was Allegedly Paid $5 Million By... The Burisma Board, Document Hidden by FBI Claims Claim: Disney Is So Strapped For Cash That They're Wargaming Out a Sale of LucasFilm THE FBI ASKED TWITTER TO BAN THE ACCOUNTS OF AMERICAN AND CANADIAN JOURNALISTS WHO CRITICIZE UKRAINE -- AT THE BEHEST OF UKRAINE'S MAIN INTELLIGENCE SERVICE Suspect in Natalee Halloway's Disappearance -- Murder, Really -- En Route to US After Peru Agrees to Extradite Fox Notifies Tucker Carlson That Posting a Ten Minute Monologue on Twitter Breaches His Contract Search
Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Primary Document: The Audio
Paul Anka Haiku Contest Announcement Integrity SAT's: Entrance Exam for Paul Anka's Band AllahPundit's Paul Anka 45's Collection AnkaPundit: Paul Anka Takes Over the Site for a Weekend (Continues through to Monday's postings) George Bush Slices Don Rumsfeld Like an F*ckin' Hammer Top Top Tens
Democratic Forays into Erotica New Shows On Gore's DNC/MTV Network Nicknames for Potatoes, By People Who Really Hate Potatoes Star Wars Euphemisms for Self-Abuse Signs You're at an Iraqi "Wedding Party" Signs Your Clown Has Gone Bad Signs That You, Geroge Michael, Should Probably Just Give It Up Signs of Hip-Hop Influence on John Kerry NYT Headlines Spinning Bush's Jobs Boom Things People Are More Likely to Say Than "Did You Hear What Al Franken Said Yesterday?" Signs that Paul Krugman Has Lost His Frickin' Mind All-Time Best NBA Players, According to Senator Robert Byrd Other Bad Things About the Jews, According to the Koran Signs That David Letterman Just Doesn't Care Anymore Examples of Bob Kerrey's Insufferable Racial Jackassery Signs Andy Rooney Is Going Senile Other Judgments Dick Clarke Made About Condi Rice Based on Her Appearance Collective Names for Groups of People John Kerry's Other Vietnam Super-Pets Cool Things About the XM8 Assault Rifle Media-Approved Facts About the Democrat Spy Changes to Make Christianity More "Inclusive" Secret John Kerry Senatorial Accomplishments John Edwards Campaign Excuses John Kerry Pick-Up Lines Changes Liberal Senator George Michell Will Make at Disney Torments in Dog-Hell Greatest Hitjobs
The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny More Margaret Cho Abuse Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed" Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means Wonkette's Stand-Up Act Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report! Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet The House of Love: Paul Krugman A Michael Moore Mystery (TM) The Dowd-O-Matic! Liberal Consistency and Other Myths Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate "Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long) The Donkey ("The Raven" parody) |