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October 15, 2012

Romney's Path, Without Ohio

Short version: It's a bitch and a half.

He'd have to win Florida, NC, and Virginia. He leads there.

He'd then have to win New Hampshire and Colorado. He barely leads there.

We assume he wins Indiana -- a state that went for Obama in 2008 but isn't considered competitive anymore.

He'd then have to win either Wisconsin -- where he actually doesn't lead -- or both Nevada and Iowa. Nevada seems doable, but Iowa is such a bluish state it's barely a swing state.

That, or he'd have to Go Big and swipe Michigan or Pennsylvania.

I'm thinking it's time to Go Big and make a play for those states.

Chuck Todd, though, mentions "private data" showing a "structural shift" making Romney the favorite.


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posted by Ace at 01:47 PM

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