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October 15, 2012

Romney's Path, Without Ohio

Short version: It's a bitch and a half.

He'd have to win Florida, NC, and Virginia. He leads there.

He'd then have to win New Hampshire and Colorado. He barely leads there.

We assume he wins Indiana -- a state that went for Obama in 2008 but isn't considered competitive anymore.

He'd then have to win either Wisconsin -- where he actually doesn't lead -- or both Nevada and Iowa. Nevada seems doable, but Iowa is such a bluish state it's barely a swing state.

That, or he'd have to Go Big and swipe Michigan or Pennsylvania.

I'm thinking it's time to Go Big and make a play for those states.

Chuck Todd, though, mentions "private data" showing a "structural shift" making Romney the favorite.

posted by Ace at 01:47 PM

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He'd have to win Florida, NC, and Virginia. He leads there. He'd then have to win New Hampshire and Colorado. He barely leads there. We assume he wins Indiana -- a state that went for Obama in 2008 but isn't considered competitive anymore. He'd then have to win either Wisconsin -- where he actually doesn't lead -- or both Nevada and Iowa. Nevada seems doable, but Iowa is such a bluish state it's barely a swing state. That, or he'd have to Go Big and swipe Michigan or Pennsylvania. I'm thinking it's time to Go Big and make a play for those states. Chuck Todd, though, mentions "private data" showing a "structural shift" making Romney the favorite. posted by Ace at 01:47 PM \| Access Comments <script language="javascript" src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/addyn/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=700;cookie=info;target=_blank;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]"></script><noscript><a href="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adlink/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" target="_blank"><img src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adserv/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" border="0" width="300" height="250"></a></noscript>	Recent Comments Hatari war whooping somewhere on Ventura Highway: "Gwyneth Paltrow wins ski collision case Posted by ..." Hairyback Guy: "If democrat moochers, layabouts, sodomites, crackh ..." nurse ratched : "The bleacher seats are great when you want to fuck ..." Alberta Oil Peon: "Just to clarify: Bragg is staging a huge Trump arr ..." 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