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October 10, 2012

FoxNews Poll: Romney Edges Obama, 46-45; Also Edges Him, For First Time, on Favorability 51-52

Since you guys are giving me grief about my Lifemanship Studies, here's a poll.

Mitt Romney now holds a narrow advantage over Barack Obama in the race for the White House -- 46 percent to 45 percent, if the election were held today, according to a Fox News national poll of likely voters released Wednesday.

That’s a six-point turnaround and a three-point “debate bounce” for Romney.

Before the first presidential debate in Denver last Wednesday, Romney had 43 percent to Obama’s 48 percent (September 24-26, 2012).

...

The poll shows independents side with Romney by 44-32 percent. That’s a reversal from before the debate when it was 43-39 in Obama’s favor. One independent in four is undecided or will vote for another candidate.

Romney's favorability jumped by four points. Obama's was unchanged. This is the first time Romney's favorability has been higher than Obama's, and the first time, in fact, it's been over 50% (which seems a critical threshold -- I've been told and told again by a pollster to "watch the favorability," as it represents the height of potential support).

One more thing: Obama leads with young people (under 30), but only attracts 50% support. That doesn't mean Romney gets the rest; some are undecided. But many undecideds will, of course, either break for Romney or just not vote.

That's down from 58% in the last poll.

And one more thing: I lied before. One more thing. If you noticed --and even if you didn't -- the right-wing FoxNews poll has actually been very tough on Romney, and Republicans, all year.

It's been one of the worst polls for us.


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posted by Ace at 06:08 PM

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