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October 06, 2012
BREAKING: Before/After Debate Poll Release
So, here we go. The first polling taken the day before and the day after Wednesday's debate, appearing in National Journal.
Tuesday October 2: Obama 49 Romney 45 O+4
Thursday, October 4: Obama 46 Romney 47 R+1
Both polls conducted by Clarus Research amongst 590 Likely Voters with a 4% MOE.
Added GMU early vote/absentee update for Iowa: D+77,000 margin now. Was over 100k a week ago, 150k in 2008, and 60k in 2004 (when Bush actually won). At this point Republicans in Iowa are sending their ballots in at a better pace than during Bush's re-election. Oh yeah, a total repeat of four years ago...