Absentee Ballot Data Ohio Shows Bad News

...for those who believe Ohio will be as Democrat-heavy or more so than 2008.

A short sample of the shift, with link to the data at the end:

Champaign County: Was +3% GOP, now +23% GOP – 20 point shift.

Columbiana County: Was +9% DEM, now +9% GOP – 18 point shift.

Crawford County: Was +3% DEM, now +12% GOP – 15 point shift.

Cuyahoga County: Was +36% DEM, now +30% DEM (GOP already has 6,000 more requests than in 2008) – 6 point shift.

Erie County: Was +24% DEM, now +7% DEM -17 point shift.

Franklin County: Was +5% DEM, now +5% GOP – 10 point shift.

Greene County: Was +4% DEM, now +19% GOP – 23 point shift.

Harrison County: Was +22% DEM, now +5% DEM – 17 point shift.

Hamilton County: Was +7% GOP, now +13% GOP – 6 point shift.

Licking County: Was TIED, now +16% GOP – 16 point shift.

Montgomery County: Was +29% DEM, now +5% DEM – 24 point shift.

Muskingum County: Was +1% DEM, now +16% GOP – 17 point shift.

Pickaway County: Was +12% DEM, now +15% GOP – 27 point shift.

Seneca County: Was +1% DEM, now +13% GOP – 14 point shift.

Summit County: Was +33% DEM, now +6 DEM – 27 point shift.

Wood County: Was +10% DEM, now +1% GOP – 11 point shift.

Link to ningrim's thankless task here, and give him a follow while you're at it.

The statewide reported gap is D+5.51%, nearly a third of what the Democrats had enjoyed in 2008. Same-day voting in Ohio leaned more in McCain's favor four years ago, but the early vote crushed him. I suspect after last night's debate a considerable number of Republicans are itching to get their ballots back.

posted by CAC at 07:14 PM

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