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September 11, 2012
WaPo/ABCPoll: Situation Normal, All Tied UpAmong likely voters, it's 49-48, edge Obama, but that's statistically meaningless. It's also virtually unchanged since their last one. But among a wider sample of all registered voters, Obama holds an apparent edge, topping Romney at 50 percent to 44 percent, and has clear advantages on important issues in the campaign when compared with his rival. And? What do all adults think? Note they're spending a lot more money to poll likely voters (it takes more calls to find a good number of likely voters) and yet seem to immediately discard the expensive, better, more predictive data they found, in favor of the cheaper, worse, less predictive data they like a bit better. People keep talking about the "Freak Out." I don't think there's been a huge Freak Out, although you always know something's going on when people start pitching advice to Romney. It's less a Freak Out that we've fallen -- maybe -- slightly behind than exasperation that something we've been expecting -- for people to realize This isn't working -- isn't happening. The race appears tied, pretty much. This exasperates many of us -- like me -- because, 1, how the hell???? and 2, I'm getting psychologically burned out from being in a state of anticipation/anxiety. And one big possible shift has gone and passed, as Krauthammer says. The problem for Romney is that there were only four events [that] could change the course [of the race]: the three debates and the conventions, and he apparently squandered the first. … Which is something that's been occurring to me a lot lately -- why not take these testimonials and make ads out of them? If the public didn't see it the first time, spend some money, give them more chances to see it. Those testimonials were deeply affecting. I know on this site, most were saying stuff like "Why do I want to hear from these people?" and fifteen minutes later were crying. Drew's Take: I posted just a moment or two after Drew. Here's his take on this. He references WaPo's urgent citation of Registered Voters: I'll take "Things That Don't Matter One Whit for a thousand Alex. What are, "registered voter polls two months out from an election?" But hey, WaPo/ABC have to cheer up the home team somehow. | Recent Comments
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Ace of Spades Pet Thread, March 15
Gardening, Puttering and Adventure Thread, March 15 Why don't they change? You know, in a more positive direction? The Classical Saturday Morning Coffee Break & Prayer Revival Daily Tech News 15 March 2025 A Night At The ONT Strange Vegetation Cafe Ten Democrats Cross the Line to Vote for Cloture on Continuing Resolution; Democrats Defeated RFK Jr.: Trump Has Lost 30 Pounds, "Despite All the Crap He Eats," Just By Taking the Buns Off His Burgers Plus: GAINZZZ A New Beltway Mystery: Follow the Biden EPA Money Search
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