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September 06, 2012

Aged Party of Youth Just Ain't Rockin' the Vote This Go-Round

Rove runs some numbers.

In October 2008, 78% of voters 18-29 told Gallup they would definitely vote that year. Now it's 58%.

There's also evidence that fewer younger people are registered. A November 2011 study from Tufts University found that 43% of the decline in Nevada's voter rolls since 2008 came from voters ages 18-24. Similarly, while North Carolina's rolls rose by 93,709 over that period, more than 48,000 younger voters were dropped from the rolls, 80% of them Democrats.

Mr. Obama's lead over Mr. Romney in the latest JZ Analytics poll among voters ages 18-29 is 49% to 41%. If young voters turn out this fall in the same numbers as in 2008 and give Mr. Obama this eight-point margin, it will take 2.8 million votes from Mr. Obama's total and add more than 3.3 million to Mr. Romney's tally.

He cites a poll that 53% of adults 18-24 agreed with the statement that they were living with their parents, or had moved in temporarily with them, to take shelter from the ravages of the Obama Economy.

But he'll give a good speech! That's what matters.


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posted by Ace at 05:33 PM

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