(Final) Primary Night Thread: FL, CT, WI, MN

#AOSHQDD WISCONSIN R PRIMARY CALL: THOMPSON

FL
CT
WI
MN

Big items:
Wisconsin US Senate race. I say Thompson by 5 with Hovde/Fitzgerald a 2nd/3rd.
Florida US Senate race. Mack by a mile.

Florida CD-7, where blog favorite Sandy Adams is up against John Mica in a Republican incumbant-on-incumbant fight. Currently Mica leads 62-38% with 42% of the vote counted.

We will also be watching Republican turnout for the primary. If it is higher than what we saw during the Walker debacle AND the Presidential primary, I'll be dancing. On par, I'll be politely clapping the Badger State GOP.

*update- AOSHQDD calls FL SENATE R for Connie Mack IV. In R v D primaries, Democratic Incumbant US Senator Bill Nelson has 79% in his own primary, Mack has more votes (in a primary with 4 choices) than Nelson outright.
*update- AOSHQDD calls FL-7 R primary for Mica.
*update @ 8:08pm EST: AOSHQDD calls CT Senate primaries: Linda McMahon will be the Republican, Chris Murphy the Democrat facing each other in November. Murphy is favored to beat McMahon currently by 9 points.
*update @08:14pm EST: AOSHQDD calls FL-9 R primary for Todd Long, who wins the right to embarass Alan Grayson in November.
*update- I have Waukesha, Ozaukee and Washington numbers up and ready to read, these counties will likely dictate who wins the primary. I'll be making projections ahead of the AP for the US Senate primary race after sampling a few other counties.

*Watching Wisconsin now...0 results from Waukesha-Ozaukee-Washington
#AOSHQDD WI R PRIMARY CALL: Neumann Thompson Fitzgerald Hovde
*update
Hovde leading Thompson by about <1% with county results I have seen so far, 6% of precincts in. WOW beginning to trickle in. (calc'ing numbers slightly different from AP, so there may be a lag in overall numbers) Dane County is favoring Thompson, Brown favoring Hovde.

*update with 0.7% in, Fitzgerald is out.
*updated with 4% tracking, Neumann is out.
*updated- Thompson is losing Ozaukee county, barely trails in Waukesha County. Brown almost all in.
*Update- here's the deal: Washington, Ozaukee and Waukesha has the highest concentration of Republican voters in the state. Regardless his performance in Dane county, if Thompson doesn't leap ahead in the WOW, Hovde has won.

*Update- Thompson enjoying a 34% to 31% lead over Hovde.
Waukesha outstanding. Washington not in at all. Dane rolling in for Thompson, Ozaukee rolling in for Hovde (BARELY).
*Update Thompson has taken a narrow lead in Waukesha county with 64% of the county still outstanding. If he carries it, Hovde is doomed.

*Update- #AOSHDD call for WI race imminent.

posted by CAC at 09:47 PM

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