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July 18, 2012

CBS/NYT Poll: Romney, Obama In Statistical Tie (Romney Nominally Ahead) Among... Registered Voters

47-46, advantage Romney.

Only 4% are undecided. Romney leads men by 8, and Obama leads women by 5. (Based on this I think Romney's lead is actually like 1.5%, for all that's worth.)

Republicans are more enthusiastic than Democrats when it comes to voting in this election, though just one in three registered voters overall are more enthusiastic than they were in the past. Roughly half of Republicans say they are more enthusiastic compared to past elections - up from 36 percent in March - while just 27 percent of Democrats say they same.

As usual, Romney has an 8 point lead on the economy.

Mr. Obama's overall approval rating stands at 44 percent, with 46 percent disapproving. His approval rating on the economy is just 39 percent - 55 percent disapprove - and his approval rating on foreign policy is 41 percent. His approval rating on the economy has dropped five points since April.

Here's a shocker, for real. You know how they're always saying Obama is sooo personally popular?

Nope.

Both candidates are viewed net-unfavorably (this is the personal favorable figure); Obama's 36% favorable and 48% unfavorable; Romney's 32% favorable and 36% unfavorable.

Seems like Romney is the clear winner there.

Seven in ten Americans say the economy is in bad shape. While 24 percent say it is getting better - down from 33 percent in April - 30 percent say it is getting worse. That marks the highest percentage who say the economy is getting worse since December.

Meanwhile, PPP finds that Obama's advantage in blue New Mexico has shrunk to 5%, with Obama slipping under the 50% threshold.

Skew: CAC says the NYT/CBS poll is D+6, which is not outrageous, but it is high. 2010 was all-even, of course.


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posted by Ace at 07:34 PM

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