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June 26, 2012

Counterpoint to Hot Air's Dismissal of WAA Polls

Ed is right on WAA blowing Wisconsin.

You want to know who also blew Wisconsin, badly?

Public Policy Polling. They came in fifth in terms of accuracy there, took to twitter congratulating the Barrett team for their internals when the exit polls leaked out, and also blew Arizona 8. Yet we know the common reactions over at Hot Air when Jensen&Co push one out. Resident polltroll Greg jumps on them here, himself.

Dismissing WAA's VA polling showing Romney up by nearly 5 would make sense for the Wisconsin reason, if you also dismissed the firms who blew it in the other direction.

Or you do what we do here at #AOSHQDD, take them all into account, and wait for a confirmation of a "shock" poll to see if it is an outliner or a trend.

Just a tip, Ed. One data point does not a trend make. Or a reason to toss.

posted by CAC at 11:37 AM

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You want to know who also blew Wisconsin, badly? Public Policy Polling. They came in fifth in terms of accuracy there, took to twitter congratulating the Barrett team for their internals when the exit polls leaked out, and also blew Arizona 8. Yet we know the common reactions over at Hot Air when Jensen&Co push one out. Resident polltroll Greg jumps on them here, himself. Dismissing WAA's VA polling showing Romney up by nearly 5 would make sense for the Wisconsin reason, if you also dismissed the firms who blew it in the other direction. Or you do what we do here at #AOSHQDD, take them all into account, and wait for a confirmation of a "shock" poll to see if it is an outliner or a trend. Just a tip, Ed. One data point does not a trend make. Or a reason to toss. posted by CAC at 11:37 AM \| Access Comments <script language="javascript" src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/addyn/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=700;cookie=info;target=_blank;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]"></script><noscript><a href="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adlink/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" target="_blank"><img src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adserv/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" border="0" width="300" height="250"></a></noscript>	Recent Comments Seems Legit: "How odd, I thought everyone understood that electr ..." rickb223 Gold & Silver Spot Prices [s][/b][/i][/u]: "You’d think they would’ve come up with ..." Commissar of Plenty and Lysenkoism in Solidarity with the Struggle : "MiG-29 has two sets of intakes Bonus hole. ..." It's me donna : "270 242 To be fair, Elon did advise that there isn ..." 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