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June 03, 2012

POLL NIGHT- 2 FOR 1:FINAL PPP POLL (WISCONSIN RECALL): Walker 50 Barrett 47; ANGUS-REID: WALKER 53% BARRETT 47%

Full poll from PPP now online here.
Only Walker-Barrett was tested, none of the others. Full results later tonight for PPP. Their last poll for DailyKos had Walker up 5, 50-45, and their last non-sponsored poll had Walker behind by 3 (Registered Voters), so take it for what you want. Both sides are engaged and that has helped Barrett without taking away Walker's consistent 50% take (consistent with their last two DK releases).

As for Angus Reid, giving Walker a 6 point lead amongst registered voters, those results are right here.

Both polls taken post-debate.
Turnout is incredibly important and there is still time to volunteer to help in that.

Two more days.
Recapping
PPP 50-47 WALKER
Rupe/Reason 50-42 WALKER
ANGUS/REID 53-47 WALKER
WPR/STNORB 50-45 WALKER
MARQUETTE 52-45 WALKER
RASMUSSEN 50-45 WALKER
WAA 54-42 WALKER
Two D internals/sponsored have Walker at 49-49
Walker is still clearing 50% in the averages despite tightening.

Possibility of a new Rasmussen poll tomorrow, but let's see if Scott bothered.

Interesting cross tab from PPP is the regional breakdown. They divided the state up by area code and found Barrett on par in Milwaukee with 10, up a bit in Greater Madison, and Walker up sizably in Greater Milwaukee. NW Wisconsin, while painted red, has the more blue counties of Eau Claire and the northern mining communities to balance it out, but that too goes to Walker.

PPP is stressing a higher Democratic turnout than now could give Barrett the upset.

MILWAUKEE
WAUKESHA
OZAUKEE
WASHINGTON

Watch these four all during our coverage election night. If Barrett's margin in Milwaukee exceeds Walker's in Waukesha, Barrett has a really good shot at unseating Walker. If not, Walker likely survives. Waukesha-Milwaukee difference mattered for Prosser in 2011 and helped Walker in 2010 to a larger lead.

But keep those four in mind.


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posted by CAC at 11:59 PM

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