Intermarkets' Privacy Policy

Donate to Ace of Spades HQ!

Recent Entries
Absent Friends
Bandersnatch 2024
GnuBreed 2024
Captain Hate 2023
moon_over_vermont 2023
westminsterdogshow 2023
Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022
Dave In Texas 2022
Jesse in D.C. 2022
OregonMuse 2022
redc1c4 2021
Tami 2021
Chavez the Hugo 2020
Ibguy 2020
Rickl 2019
Joffen 2014
AoSHQ Writers Group
A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published. Contact OrangeEnt for info:
maildrop62 at proton dot me
Cutting The Cord And Email Security
Moron Meet-Ups

Levi Johnson Gay Porn Doomsday Clock's Hands Advanced to Six to Midnight | Main | Romney: Obama (and Biden) Never Worked a Day In the Private Sector; Obama Just Doesn't Understand The Basics of Capitalism or a Free Economy
May 24, 2012

AOSHQ Wisconsin Recall Projection 5/24

Time again for the official recall projection, based on the latest available data and on the ground reports. Some polling came out since this projection was created last night (We Ask America giving Walker a twelve point lead, Reason-Rupe giving him an eight point lead) but with some caution taken into account, here is the latest:


Governor Walker is currently destroying Mayor Barrett in solidly half of the state, and tied /trailing in the more Democratic western half. The mayor currently enjoys a projected 80k vote lead in Milwaukee county, and an 85k vote lead in Dane, FAR short of what he needs to remove the incumbent governor. While his expected performance in his home county is stronger than Klopp enjoyed, it is currently reflecting a more less-interested bloc of Democratic voters in the state's largest city. Madison and its environs are on track to deliver big numbers against Walker, but it takes BOTH cities to come out strong to give Walker a fight. Despite initial bragging about early voter numbers, the fact that more voters are doing so in the smaller of the two counties just reiterates what we have been seeing: a galvanized right, a sputtering left.

The race in Wisconsin mirrors the 2008 Presidential election on a small scale. One side had enormous volunteer drives, phone centers, a tremendous fundraising and advertising advantage, and polling on its side. The other has clung desperately to eviscerating every bit of data that comes down the pipe, clinging to desperate crumbs that still show them losing, and spending their last dollars, weeks late, playing catch up with the other's effort. Only in the Badger state for this recall, it is the Republicans who are enjoying, celebrating, and focused.

Barrett's claims of decreasing crime in Milwaukee have been destroyed by a frightening investigation showing misrepresentation of violent incidents. Walker's claims of saving the state tremendous capital and even some public jobs meanwhile has been verified. The John Doe investigation itself is drawing negative attention. Liberal activists and bloggers are beginning to cannibalize on who screwed this up, and some are arguing it was never a good idea in the first place.

Tom Barrett has, as of today, 6 days to effectively change anything, and that looks highly unlikely. Both teams are now in GOTV mode, so opinions have set like the shoe of an ignoramus in concrete.

#AOSHQDD currently projects that Scott Walker is in a fantastic position, IF his supporters continue their drive and vote, to retain his position as Governor of Wisconsin. Larry Sabato agrees. Every single poll taken since the recall primary shows him winning. He is.

Do not let him down.

digg this
posted by CAC at 12:41 PM

| Access Comments

Recent Comments
GOP sux: "Or it's someone who makes that freak who was in ch ..."

Catch Thirty-Thr33: "Sure. Remember 84 when they were trying to introdu ..."

Soothsayer's mostly accurate history: " Sounds just like .38 Special ..."

BlackOrchid: "seriously tho - do we really have to wait until 20 ..."

SloPitch Whiffer: "721 I just saw the waterfall video. My professiona ..."

Propaganda Mills: "764 763 Remember, pre 1996, when the conventions g ..."

Mister Ghost: "Yashar Ali 🐘 @yashar BREAKING via WSJ ..."

mnw: "I hate that band noise behind the interviews. ..."

Catch Thirty-Thr33: "That's even worse than the unconsitutional "rank-c ..."

Jordan61: "no the photo is at the link, at the Babylon bee. I ..."

weft cut-loop[/i][/b] [/s]: "Bok-bok-baagaaawk~! d you be open to doing [ano ..."

BurtTC: "Illinois Morons, hope you're all OK with the storm ..."

Recent Entries

Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64