Top Headline Comments 5-10-12 | Main | Putin To Obama: Dimitri Transmitted Your Information To Me And I Am Not Impressed
May 10, 2012



The Governor leads his opponent by the same margin found by Daily Kos' PPP poll three weeks ago.

There are very few undecideds, as Marquette University, numerous pundits and we here at AOSHQ have said for a while. Just 2% of voters polled say they are undecided at this point, 2% are vying for a 3rd party choice, and 1% are presumably clueless. This was a poll of 500 Likely Voters, in case there were any questions about RV/LV.

From here on out, it is safer to follow Likely Voter models as we are getting a real sense (confirmed by Tuesday) of who is motivated for turnout. This isn't going to be a D+3 or D+2 or even D+1 crowd. At best for Barrett it looks to be about even, at worst, R+3 (again, pulling from the shock voter turnout amonsgt Republicans Tuesday). Ignore any "adult" or "registered" polling unless there is an LV subsample. Today's Rasmussen poll is R+3. Walker leads 51-43 with Independents.

PPP will be doing another poll for DailyKos, if this confirms the lack of a bounce Barrett has serious work to do if he hopes to knock out Walker.

Guess that turnout Tuesday really did indicate something.

Get the latest polls & projections via twitter here or search hashtag #AOSHQDD

Recent Comments
Bruce: "And good morning. ..."

Hikaru: "24 >>> Kickbacks, Kickbacks, Kickbacks... ..."

This is CNN: "J.J. The first link doesn't work ..."

WhatWhatWhat?: "16 By the time McCvntell and RINO Ryan are done wi ..."

Quirky bookworm : "Tuesday's child and I are best friends. ..."

Kreplach: "Per Dave Brat of the HFC, House leadership is bloc ..."

Captain Hate: "Private Eddie and Turtle only care about making su ..."

FenelonSpoke: "For those that weren't on the ONT, this is a nice ..."

Bitter Clinger and All That (Back from the Dead): "It's about time. I was hanging on by my teeth in t ..."

Skandia Recluse: "and the electricity is out when it goes out, ..."

bluebell : "Tuesday's child is cranky and irritable. -------- ..."

Vic We Have No Party: "None of the stories I have seen from the MFM say t ..."

Recent Entries

Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64