Liberal Conventional Wisdom Starting to Twig On To AoSHQ Conventional Wisdom-- Obama Is an Underdog | Main | Obama, GM Volt Team Up To Tell You What They Think of Your Opinion
May 09, 2012

You Know Those 626,000 Republicans Who Turned Out in Wisconsin Yesterday? Go Higher. A LOT Higher.

Big number, but if the Marquette Law poll released last Wednesday is to be believed...that number is actually low.

MU found that of the voters confirming they would be voting in the Democratic primary, 17% were Republicans.

We will never know the actual numbers per party since there was no exit polling.

Assuming that even HALF of that number stuck by their decision to cross over to cause some mayhem, that means that over 50,000 votes on the Democratic side were just devilish Republicans, bringing the total turnout to over 676k for our side.

If you go by the Marquette number, those "hidden Rs" swell to an additional 110k, bringing total turnout to 736,000: nearly matching Prosser's share in 2011 for a primary.

There is no way to spin turnout Tuesday in the Democrat's favor.
Walker won more votes overall than he did in the primary he faced in 2010- 360k out of 616k total cast (which was contested, mind you)- he won 626k clear this time.

Falk, union hope, was annihilated by Barrett, and that was with mischievous Republicans thinking she was the weaker candidate.

Dane County gave the Democrats a massive edge in votes of about 80,000, but proportionally that did not materialize in Milwaukee, which is a big concern for anyone trying to unseat Walker. If you remember earlier discussions here at the AOSHQDD, depressed Democratic turnout in Milwaukee county relative to the rest of the state actually saved Justice Prosser. The Madison vote will show up. The pro-Walker vote will show up from the Milwaukee burbs. Will traditional Presidential-race Democrats in Wisconsin's largest city bother for a special election, even one as hyped as this? So far, the little evidence we have points to a big fat nuh-uh.

Walker won the largest uncontested share of a primary vote for governor last night in 40 years. His base is behind him when they really didn't need to show up at all.

These numbers should encourage us, but don't let up. Walker needs to win by a convincing margin and continues to need our support.

Still, fun to gloat if just for a day.


digg this
posted by CAC at 06:11 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
qdpsteve: "Twelveteenth! ..."

ALH: "That poor woman, grieving her husband. God Bless h ..."

Guy who bangs all his food: "I banged out some spaghetti for dinner. Nobody com ..."

Alberta Oil Peon, survivor of GNAMM: "Call me skeptical. I watched Senator Smalley runni ..."

Basement Cat: "(pours grammie a good stiff shot of gin through th ..."

Miley, the Duchess [/b] [/i] [/s] [/u]: "Yes, well, I'm going to be fashionably late. ..."

Hairyback Guy: "Great post WD! ..."

buzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzion: "[i]665 Japan still had smoking lounges in their ai ..."

flounder, rebel, vulgarian, deplorable, winner: "RIP Green Beret. https://youtu.be/PX4Flhw0HSA ..."

Miley, the Duchess [/b] [/i] [/s] [/u]: "Peeps on the beast post  - wow. ..."

Aetius451AD Work Laptop: "ONT is Nood, btw. ..."

The Political Hat: "The Great Australian Cultural Swindle The great ..."

Recent Entries
Search


MuNuvians
Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
News/Chat
Archives
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64