Ace of Spades HQ

« "Adult We Desperately Need In Washington" Indulges In Childish Tantrum of Infinite Butthurt | Main | Liberal Conventional Wisdom Starting to Twig On To AoSHQ Conventional Wisdom-- Obama Is an Underdog »

May 09, 2012

Ace Of Spades HQ Decision Desk: Announcement Regarding North Carolina

Manning the Ace of Spades HQ Decision Desk, I have been tracking the elections since the beginning of the year, with a daily tracker on the sidebar for several weeks now.

I am pulling North Carolina off the swing state tracker and giving it to Romney. It may somehow be close via a convention bump, but President Obama is not going to carry it. Digging through turnout numbers and the yawning discrepency in some polling, it is clear that his narrow 14,000 vote victory from 2008 will neither be duplicated or expanded.

This is the second state the President will lose that he carried in 2008. Indiana was the first and conceded by his own pushers months ago. Nebraska's 2nd Congressional district is going to Romney as well, so Romney has flipped 26 electoral votes, with six months to go.

I will be updating Wisconsin projections later this week reflecting the record-level turnout amongst Walker supporters. It will bounce about in the next four weeks, and updates at the DD will reflect that, but Walker has rewidened his lead and is currently favored to beat the recall.

Follow me on twitter or search the hashtag #AOSHQDD for polling and projection info as election season continues.

posted by CAC at 03:58 PM

| Access Comments


Advertise Here! Intermarkets' Privacy Policy Support Donate to Ace of Spades HQ! Recent Entries Daily Tech News 24 April 2024 Tuesday Overnight Open Thread (4/23/24) Armored Catvalry Cafe Speedy Pummelling Minnesota State Senator and Democrat AWFL Arrested for Burlarizing Mother-in-Law's Home Already Facing a Boycott Over Its Transgender Policy, Planet Fitness Doubles Down and Hires a CEO Specializing In, Get This, "Diversity" Amid Violence and Chants of "Death to America" and "Burn Tel Aviv to the Ground," the Gaslight Media Races to Give the Pro-Hamas Criminals a Media Glow-Up Democrat Party Takes a Cut of Donations for Bail for Pro-Hamas Criminals; NFL Donated to Group Providing Free Bail to Terrorism Supporters Supreme Court Seems Ready to Overturn 9th Circus' Judge-Made Law That Homeless People Are Allowed to Sleep On the Streets (At Least Until Cities Build Free Houses for Every Single Homeless Person) The Morning Rant: Minimalist Edition Absent Friends Bandersnatch 2024 GnuBreed 2024 Captain Hate 2023 moon_over_vermont 2023 westminsterdogshow 2023 Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022 Dave In Texas 2022 Jesse in D.C. 2022 OregonMuse 2022 redc1c4 2021 Tami 2021 Chavez the Hugo 2020 Ibguy 2020 Rickl 2019 Joffen 2014 AoSHQ Writers Group A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published. Contact OrangeEnt for info: maildrop62 at proton dot me Cutting The Cord And Email Security Cutting The Cord [Joe Mannix (not a cop)] Cutting The Cord: It's Easier Than You Think [Blaster] Private Email and Secure Signatures [Hogmartin] Moron Meet-Ups PNWMoMe 2024: 06/01/2024 Yakima, WA contact Mark Andrew Edwards NoVaMoMe 2024: 06/08/2024 Arlington, VA Registration Is Open! Texas MoMe 2024: 10/18/2024-10/19/2024 Corsicana,TX Contact Ben Had for info	« "Adult We Desperately Need In Washington" Indulges In Childish Tantrum of Infinite Butthurt \| Main \| Liberal Conventional Wisdom Starting to Twig On To AoSHQ Conventional Wisdom-- Obama Is an Underdog » May 09, 2012 Ace Of Spades HQ Decision Desk: Announcement Regarding North Carolina Manning the Ace of Spades HQ Decision Desk, I have been tracking the elections since the beginning of the year, with a daily tracker on the sidebar for several weeks now. I am pulling North Carolina off the swing state tracker and giving it to Romney. It may somehow be close via a convention bump, but President Obama is not going to carry it. Digging through turnout numbers and the yawning discrepency in some polling, it is clear that his narrow 14,000 vote victory from 2008 will neither be duplicated or expanded. This is the second state the President will lose that he carried in 2008. Indiana was the first and conceded by his own pushers months ago. Nebraska's 2nd Congressional district is going to Romney as well, so Romney has flipped 26 electoral votes, with six months to go. I will be updating Wisconsin projections later this week reflecting the record-level turnout amongst Walker supporters. It will bounce about in the next four weeks, and updates at the DD will reflect that, but Walker has rewidened his lead and is currently favored to beat the recall. Follow me on twitter or search the hashtag #AOSHQDD for polling and projection info as election season continues. posted by CAC at 03:58 PM \| Access Comments <script language="javascript" src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/addyn/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=700;cookie=info;target=_blank;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]"></script><noscript><a href="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adlink/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" target="_blank"><img src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adserv/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" border="0" width="300" height="250"></a></noscript>	Recent Comments Skip: "Phone didn't charge again, plug problem I think. ..." Notorious BFD: "[i]One more day close to home[/i] https://www.y ..." Puddleglum, cheer up for the worst is yet to come: "[i]399 I think it was Omni because I remember read ..." John Drake: "I think it was Omni because I remember reading it. ..." Skip: "One more day close to home ..." Puddleglum, cheer up for the worst is yet to come: "[i]396 Ciampino - stupid question, probably, but w ..." John Drake: "Ciampino - stupid question, probably, but wasn't t ..." a dude in MI: " It would be at least an order of magnitude cheape ..." Ciampino - Maybe SpaceX might do it better?: "I'm actually surprised and a little miffed that we ..." Ciampino - Somebody served Papaver somniferum?: "Mike, thanks for the link. ..." a dude in MI: "Those batteries and the solar panels have been inc ..." Mike Hammer, etc., etc.: "Interesting stats: https://voyager.jpl.nasa.gov ..." Recent Entries Daily Tech News 24 April 2024 Tuesday Overnight Open Thread (4/23/24) Armored Catvalry Cafe Speedy Pummelling Minnesota State Senator and Democrat AWFL Arrested for Burlarizing Mother-in-Law's Home Already Facing a Boycott Over Its Transgender Policy, Planet Fitness Doubles Down and Hires a CEO Specializing In, Get This, "Diversity" Amid Violence and Chants of "Death to America" and "Burn Tel Aviv to the Ground," the Gaslight Media Races to Give the Pro-Hamas Criminals a Media Glow-Up Democrat Party Takes a Cut of Donations for Bail for Pro-Hamas Criminals; NFL Donated to Group Providing Free Bail to Terrorism Supporters Supreme Court Seems Ready to Overturn 9th Circus' Judge-Made Law That Homeless People Are Allowed to Sleep On the Streets (At Least Until Cities Build Free Houses for Every Single Homeless Person) The Morning Rant: Minimalist Edition Search Search this site: Polls! Polls! Polls! Real Clear Politics Rasmussen Reports Gallup Frequently Asked Questions What is the Deal with the Cowbell? Why is the Ace of Spades called "the Death Card"? The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick Primary Document: The Audio Paul Anka Haiku Contest Announcement Integrity SAT's: Entrance Exam for Paul Anka's Band AllahPundit's Paul Anka 45's Collection AnkaPundit: Paul Anka Takes Over the Site for a Weekend (Continues through to Monday's postings) George Bush Slices Don Rumsfeld Like an Fckin' Hammer Top Top Tens Democratic Forays into Erotica New Shows On Gore's DNC/MTV Network Nicknames for Potatoes, By People Who Really* Hate Potatoes Star Wars Euphemisms for Self-Abuse Signs You're at an Iraqi "Wedding Party" Signs Your Clown Has Gone Bad Signs That You, Geroge Michael, Should Probably Just Give It Up Signs of Hip-Hop Influence on John Kerry NYT Headlines Spinning Bush's Jobs Boom Things People Are More Likely to Say Than "Did You Hear What Al Franken Said Yesterday?" Signs that Paul Krugman Has Lost His Frickin' Mind All-Time Best NBA Players, According to Senator Robert Byrd Other Bad Things About the Jews, According to the Koran Signs That David Letterman Just Doesn't Care Anymore Examples of Bob Kerrey's Insufferable Racial Jackassery Signs Andy Rooney Is Going Senile Other Judgments Dick Clarke Made About Condi Rice Based on Her Appearance Collective Names for Groups of People John Kerry's Other Vietnam Super-Pets Cool Things About the XM8 Assault Rifle Media-Approved Facts About the Democrat Spy Changes to Make Christianity More "Inclusive" Secret John Kerry Senatorial Accomplishments John Edwards Campaign Excuses John Kerry Pick-Up Lines Changes Liberal Senator George Michell Will Make at Disney Torments in Dog-Hell Greatest Hitjobs The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny More Margaret Cho Abuse Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed" Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means Wonkette's Stand-Up Act Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report! Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet The House of Love: Paul Krugman A Michael Moore Mystery (TM) The Dowd-O-Matic! Liberal Consistency and Other Myths Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate "Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long) The Donkey ("The Raven" parody) Syndicate this site (XML) Powered by Movable Type 2.64