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November 28, 2011

Study: Most Extreme, Eye-Catching "Predictions" About Global Warming Are "Implausible;" New "Science" Points To Less Severe Changes

It's all kind of made up. I don't really care that this new bullshit "projection" is more moderate than the last bullshit "modeling session."

New research takes some of the most dire global warming projections off the table. A study published last week in the journal Science concludes that the more extreme climate change scenarios, which involve temperature increases of up to 10°F are implausible. Instead, the study finds, we are likely in the midst of a more manageable, but still potentially dangerous, shift in the planet’s climate.

But now this new "science" -- this new concoction of computer models and gestimated variables for things we do not understand and therefore cannot model at all, like cosmic rays and clouds and such -- this time you've got it all buttoned up and squared away, right?

In fact, this study’s projections still warm the planet to the highest levels in human history.

Right, right, I forgot that part where you successfully calculated the global mean temperature for the last 40,000 years. Oh right, after discarding the Medieval Warm Period and, if I'm not mistaken, an earlier, even warmer sauna period in human history.

You know what they did for this study?

Previous studies had been assuming -- assuming -- a very sensitive earth. An emo earth. An earth whose weather-moods change quickly and goth-ishly based on CO2.

But if the earth gets very hot when a little more CO2 is added, it should also be sensitive the other way, and get quite cold when CO2 fractions fall.

So, if the earth is really going to get this warm based on CO2 going up, it should have gotten quite cold in the past, when CO2 fell. Enough to freeze all the oceans on the earth, it turns out, based on their "models."

Since these researchers bothered to actually check that against the record -- duh, there is no record of literally the entire world ocean freezing over, so the earth must not be that sensitive, either way, to carbon dioxide level changes.

Can you believe the models we've been hearing about for fifteen fucking years didn't have this minor level of real-world reality check?

They just always turn the knobs on these models up to highest conceivable sensitivity to get the scare factor they want.

And then they call it science.


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posted by Ace at 03:24 PM

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