46% of Registered Voters (44% of Adults) Say They Will Definitely Vote Against Barack Obama

Is that high? That sure seems high to me.

The Washington Post buried that poll finding (naturally) the other day.

Now one of their bloggers breaks the embargo.

More than four in 10 Americans say they "definitely will not" support Obama in 2012, while fewer than half as many, just two in 10, are certain to back the president for reelection. The number of “definite” Obama voters marks a low in polls since November 2009 and has dropped four percentage points since a Post-ABC poll in June, and eight points since April.

It's 46% of registered voters, dude. I don't even know why the fuck you're talking about "Americans."

Look at the independent line here:

Right now 45% of independents will definitely vote against Obama; last time around, only 48% of independents voted against him (I presume, based on the 52% share Obama got).

For comparison, last September, a Battleground poll also found that 44% would vote against Obama -- but at that time, his reelect number was 38%. Now only 20% say the'd definitely vote for him.

I found an old column claiming that Obama's March reelect numbers in some poll (47% for Obama/37% for the Republican challenger) were "strong."

Okay.

Well if those are strong for Obama, than what is 46% Republican challenger/20% Obama?

Strong for the challenger, right?

Regarding independents -- Romney actually wins them.

In a hypothetical matchup with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, the GOP race’s front-runner, the president loses the all-important independents 53% to 41%. Among the larger survey of registered voters, Messrs Obama and Romney are running neck and neck, 49% to 48%.

In a matchup with Texas Gov. Rick Perry, Mr. Obama is ahead 51% to 46%, while independents split evenly –46% –for the two men.

I think Romney's faring better because he's worked hard to make himself the Acceptable Republican Replacement for the Quivering Pile of Failure. I continue assuming that Perry could do the same thing, but has not done so, yet.

That's my assumption, at least. If ninety days from now Romney continues being the Only Guy beating Obama, well then. That's different.

And if you're sick of polls, try this.

This Presid.... This Man in the White House, is Intolerable

By Quin Hillyer on 8.11.11 @ 3:06PM

Barack Obama is intolerable. I watch right now as, yet again, he blames the bad economy, and now specifically the S&P downgrade, on "brinksmanship" in Washington and "an unwillingness to compromise" -- as if he has absolutely nothing to do with either brinksmanship or unwillingness to compromise. Who was it who, just at the verge of a deal, suddenly insisted on an extra $400 billion in taxes, thus killing the "compromise"? Obama. Who was it who vowed to veto a debt-ceiling deal even if it made it through both branches of Congress, including a Democratic Senate, if it would require another debt-ceiling increase vote again before the next election? Obama. For that matter, Obama just said that the problem is people worrying too much about winning the next election rather than getting policy right. What a joke. Again, he is the guy who, on the debt ceiling (as just described) and on several other items has insisted that the next move must, absolutely must, not occur until after the next election. He's the guy governing based on the next election.

He just said several times that "our politics is the problem." As if he isn't playing politics. He said it's time to stop the attacks -- even as his campaign says its goal is to "kill Romney."

...

This man is a hypcocrite, an egocentric louse, a liar, and a thoroughly unpleasant personality. He attacks, attacks, attacks, attacks -- and then says that the problem is politicians who attack.

BTW: There will be a liveblog of the debate, thanks to Andy for setting it all up.

Oh, and Byron York is one of the questioners there. Finally a real debate.

posted by Ace at 07:00 PM

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