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June 22, 2011
U.S. Senate Races 2012 Projections (updated 6/22/2011)
Map is BIG so I am putting it below the fold:
The map is pretty self explanatory. Currently Republicans are projected to flip five seats. I threw in some "what ifs" to reflect the possibility of a nightmare scenario for the Democrats- Republicans who passed up or were defeated in previous election primaries but who could really alter the landscape even more favorably to the GOP.
Right now, if you want a simple majority, you are already there. If you want a filibuster proof majority to totally undo Obamacare, you need to fight pretty damn hard and flip seats in Wisconsin, Ohio, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, New Mexico, Florida, Michigan, and Minnesota. Being that Republicans made gains in all of these states in 2010, there is a chance, but it is currently a small one.