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June 22, 2011

Bloomberg Poll Affirms Obama Has Solid Base of Support

Courtesy Bloomberg News, the latest poll on the President, the economy, and his re-election chances show a solid base of support for President Obama, so I suppose we might as well accept the media meme that it is safer to bet on his re-election than on his defeat:
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Oh yeah, that other half of the poll results, that sort of stings.

In case our resident trolls wish to opine that Bloomberg used a biased sample, Rasmussen currently pegs the nation at about R+1.5, whereas the sample breakdown here was 27R-32D-39I (and 2% totally clueless as usual).

There is of course bad news for Republicans here- some responses showing an electorate that is weary of actual hard cuts to entitlements- but not by the margins you would assume after the President's repeated trashing of Ryan and the vilification of conservative cutting proposals. Fear of a Republican candidate "going too far" however is far outweighed by retarded economic growth.

The economy is the only thing that matters, despite Democratic attempts at deflection. Anyone arguing otherwise, that a persistantly horrible economy won't be enough to sink the President, is presented with the following fish slap to the face:

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Perhaps my assumption of a hard shift in 1.1% of the electorate away from the President is too timid. Under my current postulation, the President already loses North Carolina, Indiana, Florida, and Nebraska's rogue congressional district. If the above numbers hold, he will be lucky to break 200 electoral votes.

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posted by CAC at 09:45 AM

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