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June 20, 2011
Rasmussen on Generic Congressional Ballot: Generic Republican 43%, Generic Democrat... 37%?
Nate Silver believes Rasmussen has a "house bias," as every pollster does, but in Rasmussen's case the bias is a being a little too Republican in sample. Rasmussen isn't bad about this -- but he does seem to oversample Republicans/conservatives.
Other pollsters oversample Democrats more, of course.
Point is, Nate Silver has persuaded me there is, I think he said, a +2 or +3% oversample in Rasmussen's numbers for Team GOP.
Still.
It does not appear the MediScare thing is the silver bullet for Democrats, and it does not appear people are buying into the Endless Recovery Summer claims.