Sponsored Content
« BREAKING: Mubarak Resigns, Military Council To Take Over. UPDATE: It's A Military "Coup" | Main | Arizona Countersues US, Citing Fed's Failure to Control Border »
February 11, 2011

Next Senator from Arizona? Gabby Giffords, Most Likely

You can't beat tragedy, especially not when coupled with instant sainthood. This Washington Times article speculates that Giffords would win easily if she runs -- and I have to think that's right. Because voters are dumb.

“If one assumes she’d be healthy enough to run, there’s nobody who could beat her,” said Mr. Merrill [a professor at ASU and a pollster]. “Now she’s got 100 percent name identification and 100 percent sympathy from the public. If she was well enough and she wanted the nomination, I don’t think there’s any question.”

Plus, because the media was determined to claim the conservative movement were co-conspirators in the shooting, we (most of us) rushed to note she was a moderate, not a liberal (and therefore not really the sort of person we nominate for killing at our weekly Murder List meet-ups), so she now has the whole conservative movement, mostly, swearing to her moderation and centrism.

I don't think it's a lost cause, but it's plenty tough.

The other candidate will also have almost 100% name recognition by the time of the election, and sympathy, while potent, doesn't mean you automatically win. But that is the way to bet, isn't it?

Plus, if Giffords enters the race, our best candidates will probably not enter the race, and in that way the prediction winds up making itself true.

So we start the cycle one down. We need five pickups for control.


digg this
posted by Ace at 11:55 AM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
bill in arkansas, not gonna comply with nuttin, waiting for the 0300 knock on the door : "I had to go through downtown Fort Smith after the ..."

Captain Obvious, Laird o' the Sea, Radioactive Knight: "Couldn't have wagyu stock using up all the makeup ..."

That Northern skulker: "I'm feeling kind of gloomy and unsolvable at this ..."

Mister Scott (Formerly GWS): "Japan seems like an odd place, with hyper-dense, h ..."

Cicero (@cicero43): "Gotta massage them cows and feed them only the fin ..."

JackStraw: "I went to my towns Memorial Day Parade. It was rea ..."

CppThis: "47 Ronin may be bleak, but it's also manly as hell ..."

Notorious BFD: "[i]How did you observe Memorial Day?[/i] With p ..."

Dr. Bone: "Thank the heavens we never made it as far as Tom's ..."

Gen. Curtis LeMay: "Samurai City Cafe ------------- Those buil ..."

Jewish-Japanese fusion cuisine enthusiast: "I'll have a pastrami on samurye. ..."

Mr Aspirin Factory: ""How did you observe Memorial Day?" Moved #5 ri ..."

Recent Entries
Search


Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64