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November 02, 2010

Zack Space Defeated

Toomey Behind 2.5% With 81% In Now He's Up!

And some other updates at Hot Air.

Update: Toomey pulls ahead!

Update: I thought I read earlier, or heard, Etheridge had won over Renee Ellmers -- but rdbrewer writes that Ellmers is only 500 votes behind (via Michelle Malkin).

Update: Nikki Haley's lead grows a bit. Thank Goodness.

Update: Zack Space (D) loses in OH, to Republican Gibbs. This was one of the ones on Nate Silver's "Super Wave" third column list.

More On PA: The Super Wave is definitely alive and well in Pennsy.

PA-3 R pickup

PA-4 is close and this was considered a solid D as Altmire is essentially and Republican

PA-7 likely R pickup if numbers hold

PA-8 R pickup if numbers hold

PA-10 R pickup if numbers hold

PA-11 R pickup if numbers hold.

PA-12 Murtha's old seat. It is close, Critz is up, but not by much.

That is five pickup with the chance of 7

Thanks to a reader. Hey, sorry, forget who!

On the downside, Anna Little has lost to Frank Pallone in NJ-6. Damn. She was slightly ahead for a while.

Jon Runyan is cruising to victory in NJ-3, though.


Whew! We're gettin' some of our wins now.



By the way, the Ace of Spades Decision Desk is about to make a fucking call on Phil Hare.

Ohio Takeovers... "random" writes--

OH1 (Nate Silver #8 ) +5, 86% reported TAKEOVER OH6 (Silver #58 ) down to +6 but 94% reported TAKEOVER OH15 (Silver #10) +15, 54% reported TAKEOVER OH16 (Silver#32) +13, 75% reported TAKEOVER OH18 (Silver #69) +14, 92% reported CALLED TAKEOVER

OH Gov
49-47 Kasich (R), 77% reported 2 point lead 85K votes lead

OH Sen
Portman (R) up by 20

Five out of OH is part of the big wave.

What we're finding is that, like, yeah, MA is lost to us, forever, even this year.

NYS? We'll see. It hurts that we had a buffoon running for Governor. That may have hurt a lot of Congressional aspirants.

But the bluest states are staying quite blue.

I thought we could get big gains there.

But it's in the South, the West, and the Midwest -- the right-leaning and swing areas -- where the wave is in fact crashing hard.

So, MA is unpersuadable... but suddenly NJ is in play. That's something.

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