538's Nate Silver: Early Voting Patterns Consistent With Decent, But Not Huge, Republican Gains

Nate Silver can be trusted, in the main -- he's objective when it comes to poll analysis, even though he tilts liberal.

So when he concludes the Republicans are in for a "pretty good night" but not the huge night we'd been hoping for, you can trust that.

And the reason? A lot of people are sitting on their goddamned asses waiting for things to change instead of fulfilling their patriotic duties as American citizens and making the change happen.

Based on this analysis I am giving up on my big predictions and scaling back to something like 44 seats or so. We will lose all the close races (we always do), and people like Ruth McClung and Sean Bielat will lose. Only the lock seats will come through for us.

You know what the Democrats call a loss of 44 seats after they've socialized health care and blown up the budget to Greek levels? Acceptable losses. They'll take that, all day and twice on Sundays. Because they've now set the country on an inexorable path to socialism. They're playing the long game, while we're... well we're not playing any game at all.

A lot of conservatives express their political views by not engaging with politics -- after all, government is a threat, so why participate in its functions?

Well, as Geroge Bush said about terrorists:

You may not be interested in politicians, but believe me, politicians are interested in you.

And if you want them off your backs you have to fire those who are taking an undue interest in your private, personal decisions.

If you're not part of the solution you're part of the problem. And unless you're giving money or a little spare time which might even turn out to be a little bit fun you're not part of the solution.

posted by Ace at 11:19 AM

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