Murky Grabs 343 Net Votes In First 2,391 Absentees
Update: But Was That From a Murky Stronghold in Anchorage?
Joe Miller Camp Says This Is Good News
| Main | It's Over? "Virtually Impossible" For Murkowski To Pull Ahead
August 31, 2010

Update: Nail-Biter

Murky is outperforming her election-day performance, which becomes a problem when she starts getting above 50%... below that, and she continues losing votes, above that, she eats into Miller's lead.

It looks like in most areas she will be above 50%. But how far above?

Counting from Miller's own stronghold of the Mat-Su valley (Palin's area) got him about +150 votes, which is okay, but not as many as Murky got from hers. He still has Fairbanks; but she still has "the bush," which, the thinking goes, will support her because they like her style of Big Daddy federal dollar subsidies.

5000+ votes have been counted, I think, leaving maybe 6000 to go, and Miller still has a 1400 vote edge.

4:29pm: The Anchorage Daily News reports that the latest batch of absentees came from the Mat-Su valley, specifically House Districts 13 through 16. Crunching the numbers myself, on election day, Murkowski won 38% of the vote in those districts. Among the absentees, she's picking up nearly 48% of the vote -- a much bigger improvement than among the Anchorage absentees, but she still has a long way to go.

Districts 13-16 The Anchorage Daily News reports this latest batch of new ballots was from Districts 13-16 -- the Mat-Su Valley (Palinland). Miller won 62.12% of the vote in those districts on Election Day, but he only won 52.33% of the new ballots from those districts. With all of today's ballots, Murkowski is now out-performing her Election Day numbers in all districts that have been counted today by 5.9%. If that were to continue in all districts across the state, she would need a total of 16,690 new ballots to be counted to pass Miller.

I don't know whose blog that's from -- if you know, please tell me.

Bear in mind Murky's overperformance, and Miller's underperformance, aren't really unexpected -- I always thought that these ballots would skew Murky due to the fact that many were cast long before Miller appeared viable (and before anyone really heard of him).

The ADN is also liveblogging the counting.

So is The Other McCain.

Hey, Guys! I Just Found A Stack of Ballots! But of course you did, darling.

digg this
posted by Ace at 04:54 PM

| Access Comments

Recent Comments
Helena Handbasket: ">>> 71 Open Thread sending out a beacon for Helena ..."

Anonosaurus Wrecks, Tyrannosaur Wrangler: "Gorman and Simmons were both playing hurt. - B ..."

thinking cap status: ON: "The latest is the FBI says the international trave ..."

occam's brassiere: " baseball on the radio has been a real ch ..."

IP: "He and his best pitcher were a team on their own o ..."

Tonypete: "Honestly, I can't imagine watching that video and ..."

lowandslow: ""Yount has said he thinks the Brewers would have t ..."

Chris M: "Honestly, I can't imagine watching that video and ..."

Donna&&&&&V.: "Posted by: Insomniac - Ex Cineribus Resurgo at Jul ..."

On the screws : ">>> #1 Son was a little league catcher for 3 years ..."

artemis: "There's nothing more glorious than spending the da ..."

Insomniac - Ex Cineribus Resurgo: "I don't think I ever had an Orange Julius. ..."

Recent Entries

Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64