Sponsored Content




Intermarkets' Privacy Policy
Support


Donate to Ace of Spades HQ!



Recent Entries
Absent Friends
GnuBreed 2024
Captain Hate 2023
moon_over_vermont 2023
westminsterdogshow 2023
Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022
Dave In Texas 2022
Jesse in D.C. 2022
OregonMuse 2022
redc1c4 2021
Tami 2021
Chavez the Hugo 2020
Ibguy 2020
Rickl 2019
Joffen 2014
AoSHQ Writers Group
A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published. Contact OrangeEnt for info:
maildrop62 at proton dot me
Cutting The Cord And Email Security
Moron Meet-Ups





















Treacher: What I've Learned From My Intellectual, Social, and Moral Superiors
Plus: Huge Ground Zero Victory Mosque Round-Up
| Main | Overnight Open Thread
August 17, 2010

Taiwanese Animation Takes On... 2010 Elections

It's like they're just playing to us now.

What's the best part? Well, what would you say the most bizarre and lurid story of the 2010 election season is? If you know that then you've answered your own question.

Also at Hot Air: Obama's inspiring new rhetoric. Oh it's good. Remember when he said the difference between 1994 and now is "Now you've got me"?

Well, the man is delivering on the promise of "Me."

Nate Silver noted on his twitter feed today that most Democrats don't understand how "terrifying" the Generic Congressional numbers are; I was going to write about that, but Allah already did. Allah also notes that Charlie Cook has further downgraded the Democrats. 68 Democratic seats are now toss-up or merely lean Democrat, and, given a wave, almost all of those are likely to be lost.

MatthewsAntiThrill.jpg

I didn't really hit his hard enough in yesterday's post: Gallup's generic reading of 50-43 and Rasmussen's of 48 to 36 are really extraordinary, all-time highs of Republican sentiment. And mutually confirming.

And usually the rule is "add on 2-3 points" to represent better Republican turnout than polls indicate, and then subtract a point or two for Democratic dispirit... And well, it's hard to be a pimp.

Silver is trying to figure out how determinative the CGB is to November results, and while he's drawn no firm conclusions, here's a chart showing the congressional generic from 2002, when Republicans picked up a handful of seats, like 10:

Now imagine that graph for this year, extended out to November, with an unheard of 8 point (or more) lead for Republicans.

Kos is now using a more reputable pollster, but one (PPP) still widely believed to skew left, and, now bound by more credible numbers, his sycophants are... angry with him.

PPP has delivered a poll on the Missouri Senate race for Daily Kos, and Im seeing genuine anger at the results, which are now filtered for those likely to vote in November.

As Kos says, So whats going on? Our old friend, the intensity gap.

...

The way the races stand today, I think its fairly likely that the Republicans will hold all their seats in the Senate, and gain more besides. Because, again as Kos says, If the current malaise persists, it wont be so close. He says that about Missouri, but I think the same applies to the national Congressional situation.

No, it won't be close.

People make a decision as far as party on three main bases: 1, foreign policy/security, 2, similar values, and 3, the economy.

Which of these helps the Democrats? None. They all go in the same direction.

Everything already was going against the Democrats and now they have the suddenly-discovered constitutional right to gay marriage in all 50 states and President Praise Allah.

What the hell? If there were serious betting on elections, and if the mob were involved, I'd swear they were being paid off to throw the series. I'd start looking in Judge Walker's driveway for a shiny new hooker's-lipstick-red Ferrari and I'd look to see if any members of Obama's family were suddenly taking luxe vacations in countries conveniently near Switzerland--

Hey....! Wait a minute...!

Oh: Hat tip to the Editor who suggested I include a picture of Chris Matthews wincing in all poll posts... I think I'll do just that.



digg this
posted by Ace at 09:12 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
Anonosaurus Wrecks, Is this the real life? Is this just fantasy? [/s] [/b] [/i]: "Google Gemini: Definitely artificial, questionabl ..."

p0indexterous: "Thank you for another wonderful book thread, perfe ..."

Anonosaurus Wrecks, Is this the real life? Is this just fantasy? [/s] [/b] [/i]: "Attorneys for Fulton County DA's Office Deny Willi ..."

BurtTC: "Ya know, technically those flights don't need to a ..."

CppThis: "[i]263 Not sure if @Google is aware but it’s ..."

Polliwog the 'Ette: "Added Eastshade to my Steam wishlist. It art is be ..."

Diogenes: " I ordered The Attack by Kurt Schlicter this week. ..."

Alberta Oil Peon: "Streamline Moderne: http://tinyurl.com/yc838jcw ..."

Anonosaurus Wrecks, Is this the real life? Is this just fantasy? [/s] [/b] [/i]: "Speaking of the news . . . NBC story claims int ..."

Sharon(willow's apprentice): "Found a synopsis of some of the Reachre books and ..."

Quarter Twenty : "The original "I hate spunk." https://youtu.be/Q ..."

Ciampino - Reacher never ages?: "237 Sharon, the alternate to Blue Moon could be ' ..."

Recent Entries
Search


Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64