MSNBC Headline: Arizona Law "Makes It a Crime To Be an Illegal Immigrant" | Main | Wonderful: Russian Arms Maker Now Advertising For Planned Terrorist Missile System
April 27, 2010

Enthusiasms. Enthusiasms: Conservative Voters Much More Enthusiastic About Midterms Than Liberals

Pollsters cannot account for this phenomenon, but they're 99% sure it's due to hate.

Sweet, sweet warming hate. Like a shot of good whiskey, or the joyful frisson one feels after setting fire to an immigrant's convenience store.

Also, young voters aren't very enthusiastic this year.

The fact that voters under age 50 -- and particularly those under 30 -- are less enthusiastic about voting this year is not a new phenomenon; voter turnout typically skews older. The current data, based on Gallup Daily tracking conducted April 1-25, confirm that so far, 2010 provides no exception to this traditional pattern.

...

Gallup Daily tracking data reinforce the value of younger voters for the Democrats, showing that 18- to 29-year-olds favor the Democratic candidate over the Republican candidate in their local districts by a 12-point margin. In contrast, the Republican candidate is on top among all groups of voters aged 30 and older.

This is several days old by now, but Gallup finds the narrowest partisan gap since 2005 -- just one point of difference, obliterating the Democrats' 10-12 point advantage between 2006 and 2008.

The six-point rise in Republican support since the first quarter of 2009 is due entirely to a growing proportion of independents who lean to the Republican Party, rather than an increase in the percentage of Americans who identify as Republicans outright. (Gallup measures party identification by first asking Americans whether they identify as Republicans, Democrats, or independents. Those who are independent or express no party preference are then asked whether they lean more toward the Democratic or the Republican Party.)

In fact, the 28% of Americans who initially identify as Republicans today is identical to the figure Gallup measured in early 2009, when the Democrats still had a double-digit advantage in support. Since then, there has been a three-point reduction in the proportion of Democratic identifiers, and a three-point decline in the percentage of Democratic-leaning independents.

To some extent, then, this represents simply conservative-tilting voters coming home after going crazy on acid for the 2006 and 2008 elections. Still, you need to get back what you had before you can think about getting more.



digg this
posted by Ace at 02:10 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
fluffy: "Poor little bun bun.I'd tell him he was a good Kit ..."

votermom pimping great books!: "prayers for Hrothgar & his family ..."

Soothsayer -- Fake Commenter: " [i]I kind of hope he's ok! - Hrothgar [/i] ..."

blaster: "NOOD pets ..."

Duke Lowell : "It's nice that the Black kitteh has a pet bunny. ..."

KT: "Darn it.  Love those pets.  All of ours ..."

Peaches: "Over the years they'll build up bigger bigger clu ..."

blaster: "NOOD pets ..."

blaster: "Mis Hum - Leo is my dog there. Sent you an email. ..."

Professor Chaos aka gumdrop gorilla: "What did you do for God to punish you like that? ..."

Misanthropic Humanitarian: "Posted by: Jake Holenhead at October 21, 2017 03:0 ..."

Anon Y. Mous: "Looks like we are missing the pic of Mittens. Got ..."

Recent Entries
Search


MuNuvians
Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
News/Chat
Archives
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64