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January 12, 2010
Cook Report: 8-9 Dem Senate Seats in Play in 2010 (and This Doesn't Count Scott Brown's Bid)
Unlikely to win them all, and even assuming we won them all, we still wouldn't control the Senate. Indeed, even if we won 9 and Brown won too, we'd still be at 50-50 -- with Super-Genius Joe Biden breaking ties in Obama's favor.
(Unless... Lieberman than flipped, which I have to imagine he would.)
Anyway, we're probably not going to take back the Senate, but Cook calls a 4-to-6 seat pickup for the GOP the most likely scenario.