Intermarkets' Privacy Policy

Donate to Ace of Spades HQ!

Recent Entries
Absent Friends
Bandersnatch 2024
GnuBreed 2024
Captain Hate 2023
moon_over_vermont 2023
westminsterdogshow 2023
Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022
Dave In Texas 2022
Jesse in D.C. 2022
OregonMuse 2022
redc1c4 2021
Tami 2021
Chavez the Hugo 2020
Ibguy 2020
Rickl 2019
Joffen 2014
AoSHQ Writers Group
A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published. Contact OrangeEnt for info:
maildrop62 at proton dot me
Cutting The Cord And Email Security
Moron Meet-Ups

« Shocker: Obama Replaces Head of State Department Iran Desk with "De Facto Lobbyist" and Apologist for the Regime | Main | Science: Fruit Bats Blow Each Other »
November 10, 2009

Polls, Polls, Polls: Snowe In Trouble in Maine; Obama Hurt Deeds; ObamaCare Slips Eleven Points (!) in Gallup

Rounding up the polls that were already rounded up at Hot Air:

46% of Maine GOPers disapprove of Olympia Snowe, while only 40% support her. And 59% of Maine GOPers would chose a "more conservative alternative" in a primary contest. Only 31% would stick with Snowe.

The PPP poll blog speculates that if Snowe is to continue in office, she'll have to do so as an Independent.

For those who can't get enough of the "shoot the RINOs" stuff: Yeah, I happen to agree, this is a low-cost, high-possible-reward situation where, indeed, conservatives should get behind and support a challenger to Snowe, and not really care too much if she (predictably) leaves the party. She's simply not doing enough for the party on any issue.

Fact I wasn't aware of: 68% of Maine GOPers consider themselves "conservative," and among that majority, 56% disapprove of Snowe.

A pollster finds that Obama did in fact hurt Deeds in Virginia-- a majority of voters there agreed with the idea it was important to put a "check" on Obama by electing a governor from the opposing party.

Voters opted for the check and balance by a 55%-35% margin. Independents (who voted for Obama by one point in 2008 in Virginia) opted for a check and balance by an overwhelming 58%-25% margin. Throughout our tracking, we regularly found open-ended comments from Independent voters saying they wanted to balance the overwhelming power that the Democrats have in Washington. Given the absolute power the Dems have in DC, that is a very strong message for GOPers running in 2010.

We tested the impact of the Obama endorsement — 24% said they were more likely to vote for Deeds, while 32% were less likely. The minus eight increment on that can not be encouraging to the White House.

Finally, we tested a simple agree/disagree: “Creigh Deeds’ policies are too close to the policies of President Barack Obama.” Fully 52% agreed and only 30% disagreed. By intensity, 30% strongly agreed and only 9% strongly disagreed. Revisionists on the left are blaming Deeds for not embracing Obama enough, but Virginia voters did not agree. Among Independents, it was 52% agree/28% disagree.

Meanwhile, President Prissypants is unable to sell his abortion to the public. The percentage of those who would urge their representative to vote for ObamaCare is down 11 points in a month.

Allah focuses on that particular question, which doesn't include leaners (leaners get reprompted and asked, "Come on, stop dicking around and give me an answer, you douche."). With and without leaners:

The leaners have backed away from supporting Obama care to opposing it -- a 15 point net swing (support -8, oppose +7) in a month.

That said, it has always been my belief (shared by Dick Morris, who recently said the exact same thing) that only when opposition gets to 60% is ObamaCare definitely beaten. Any lower than that and there is a good chance that Democrats will ram it through anyway, on the theories that 1, it's better to pass something unpopular than to pass nothing, and 2, it is easier to beg for forgiveness than to receive permission, and 3, this is a once-in-history chance to remake the US economy into a socialist one, and that's worth losing some seats over.

As a cynical commenter pointed out: There will be plenty of job opportunities for socialist bureaucrats in the Post-Obama age, so Democrats losing their seats will know they have a lucrative future in wealth redistribution.

digg this
posted by Ace at 01:56 PM

| Access Comments

Recent Comments
It's me donna : "We have gone from near certain victory to unknown ..."

Ripley: "This sucks big time in that it gives the Deep Stat ..."

Gref: "588 She will say the most idiotic things, and the ..."

18-1: "[i]She will say the most idiotic things, and the m ..."

davidt: "Donors will get onboard with Harris as they are ea ..."

Nova Local: "585 @584 >>Whoever said this is a done deal has ..."

It's me donna : "588 She will say the most idiotic things, and the ..."

ShainS -- Trump 2024, Now #1 With a Bullet! [/b][/i][/s][/u]: " >>So Hunter dropped his lawsuit against Fox. He w ..."

vmom stabby stabby stabby stabby stabamillion: "That's vmom level tweeting right there Posted by: ..."

runner: "She will say the most idiotic things, and the medi ..."

18-1: "[i]>>The independent review panel of experts from ..."

ShainS -- Trump 2024, Now #1 With a Bullet! [/b][/i][/s][/u]: "Matt Walsh @MattWalshBlog My 7 year old came int ..."

Recent Entries

Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64