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October 28, 2009

Qunnipiac: Corzine Up By 5, But They Tend to Overstate Democratic Voting

43-38, which isn't good, but on the other hand:

A dedicated reader notices that the final Quinnipiac poll of 2008 in New Jersey showed "a huge Democratic landslide in New Jersey, Sen. Barack Obama tops Republican Sen. John McCain 59 - 36 percent while incumbent Democratic Sen. Frank Lautenberg leads Republican challenger Dick Zimmer 55 - 33 percent among likely voters."

Obama beat McCain 57.27 percent to 41.7 percent; Obama's total of the final vote was 2 points lower than Q's final number and McCain's total was almost 6 points higher than Quinnipiac's final number.

In the Senate race. Lautenberg won, 55.53 percent to 42.49 percent. Lautenberg was just above Quinnipiac's final number, but Zimmer was almost 10 points ahead of Quinnipiac's final number.

In one case they overstated the Democrats' vote share by almost 8 points, another time by almost 10.

So, Christie's behind by 5, they say?

Well. Then he's not really behind is he?


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posted by Ace at 03:34 PM

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