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September 01, 2009

Generic Congressional Ballot: R's +4 in PPP Poll; R's +7 in Rasmussen

45-41 in Public Policy Polling's new poll.

Check this out:

In your average election year incumbent members of Congress running for reelection get a share of the vote somewhere in the upper 60s. But our newest national poll finds that if there was an election today, only 47% of voters in the country say they would vote to reelect their current Representative, with 33% saying they would definitely vote for a challenger and 20% unsure.


That result [the 45-41 R advantage] is largely a function of independents saying they would vote Republican by a margin of 40-31. Democrats and Republicans are mostly committed to their parties, as you would expect.

Among voters who are unhappy with both Congressional Democrats and Republicans [which is most of them -- ace], the GOP leads on the generic ballot 50-14, a reflection of the fact that even if people don't like you they might turn to you as the alternative when you're the party out of power.

And Rasmussen has R's up by seven, 43% to 36%. Republicans kept their same level of support, while Democrats slipped two points.

That represents the lowest level of support for Democrats in recent years, while Republicans have tied their highest level of support for the third straight week...

Throughout the summer of 2008, support for Democratic congressional candidates ranged from 45% to 48%. Republican support ranged from 34% to 37%.

And we all remember what results that advantage produced.

In 1994, when we swept, the GOP was up near 48% on the generic ballot question. We're still aways away from that, at 43%. I think that missing 5% is due to the fact that we don't have a strong affirmative agenda right now, but I trust the GOP is working on that. (It's also due to the fact, as Rasmussen points out, that no one in the country could ever remember a Republican congress and so had no fears of one -- a situation quite different from today.)

We need a Contract for America and a real promise to stop the spending and focus laser-like, in Clinton's famous phrase, on the economy.

Okay, here's some serious cowbell, with an appropriate title, I think. It reflects our mood.

Oh: Since phoenixrisen mentioned it -- here's the only Louie video I can find that isn't the Last Supper one. Light Content Warning for a Guy Who Wants to Dip His Balls Into Stuff.

Thanks to Phoenexrisen.

digg this
posted by Ace at 03:53 PM

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