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February 12, 2009
Shock Poll: Repubicans Trail in Generic Congressional By Single Point
Could be an outlier-- but Rasmussen is pretty decent.
Barone:
Given that this generic ballot question over the years has tended to understate Republicans’ performances in actual elections, one gathers that if the 2010 election for House seats were held today, Republicans would win or come close to winning a majority of seats—which is to say, they would gain about 40 seats. By way of comparison, they gained 52 seats when they won their majority in 1994. This result may just be a momentary blip, which will pass away as quickly as it appeared, and we are a long, long, long way from the November 2010 elections. But if I were a Democratic member of Congress in even a marginally marginal district, I would be just a little bit worried.
The bad news is that Obama and the Democrats are not nearly afraid of mortgaging the next 40 years to produce a temporary economic goose in the here and now, before an election.