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August 22, 2008

Dare We Dream? Obama Doesn't Have Nomination Locked Up

Oh, of course he does, but let's pretend.

Need for nomination are 2,118 delegates. Thus, at the moment, the projection is for Senator Obama, certainly, but only by 40 votes and the fact is that the Super-delegates can make up their minds, or change them, at any time, right up to the time to vote on nomination night. The big dance thus centers on the Super-delegates and what they decide may still be in question. Indeed, a change of thinking amongst 40 Super-delegates would be enough to throw Obama’s nomination in doubt and a wholesale defection of

298 of the Supers would change the dynamics to such an extent that Senator Clinton would receive the nomination.

Just a month or so ago, this kind of thinking would be totally off the wall, but a lot has changed in a month and a lot more could switch within another week. Ever since Barack returned from his mid-East “rock concert,” his image has been shrinking. Figure for a moment that Obama is now seen in the popular vote as in virtually a statistical dead heat with John McCain.

All indications and past indicators would favor the presumed Democratic nominee being well ahead in the popular polls right now. Figure that the Saddleback conversations were most unhelpful to Obama where John McCain is widely perceived to have clobbered him, and which were viewed by a large mass audience. Figure that the Clintons have been quietly working away to have major presence at the Convention and have insisted that Hillary’s name be placed in nomination. Supposedly, she will then tell all her supporters to vote for Obama…maybe.


And in this case the campaign has not been so quiet. The seeds of distrust and disenchantment have been effectively thrown and not the least of which has been by the presumed candidate Barrack Obama himself. At the moment he is not playing very well on the American stage and a lot of the Democratic powers-that- be know it. While they are putting on a good face and spinning the inevitable spin, the facts are that there is a lot of worry amongst the Democrats as to whether Obama can win in November. Hillary is ambitious and seems to be gaining momentum as a possible alternative.

Special inducement for Hillary and PUMA: If Hillary attempts this and succeeds, I will endorse her and become her biggest supporter.

Because Hillary would in fact be the real Messiah.

Oh: And of course Hill's Angels are planning all sorts of shenanigans.

But we know for a fact Hillary is telling them in no uncertain terms to cool their jets and support Obama.

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posted by Ace at 04:56 PM

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