Goofball Volunteer Torches Radio Station | Main | VDH: Let's Not Forget We Have An Election Scheduled in November
January 29, 2008

Strange Speculation: Giuliani Could Have Won By *Highlighting* His Pro-Choice Position

Debra Saunders offers this very counterintuitive idea, possibly because she's on deadline and needs a new angle.

Her theory -- which I guess is superficially plausible -- is that in a badly divided field with five (or six!) candidates all drawing between 10 and 25% of the vote, Giuliani's stance as a pro-choice, tough-guy Republican candidate could have won the thing for him -- if only by a bare plurality.

I don't buy that at all. Had Giuliani done that, he may have eked out narrow pluralities in early states -- but, as is happening now, the field would have winnowed to two or three candidates, and Giuliani would now be facing the overwhelming majority of GOP voters who are staunchly pro-life.

A very pro-choice Giuliani would now be facing, most likely, a pro-life Mitt Romney -- and even if he did manage, somehow, to win 40 or 50% of the vote in many Mega Tuesday contests, the base would largely dislike him. And that would make for a tough go in the general election.

It's an interesting angle but, I think, not very convincing.

The conventional wisdom -- my wisdom -- is boring but most likely right: Giuliani should have been much stronger in calling for the repeal of Roe v. Wade (a perfectly respectable legal opinion, even among many liberals who support abortion rights) while allowing, truthfully, that as to policy, he favored the pro-choice side.

Not enough to win it for him, perhaps, but enough to blunt the resistance to his candidacy from the pro-life voters.

I should also note that not only did Giuliani's pro-choice stance alienate pro-life voters, it alienated me, and I'm fairly pro-choice. Or at least not nearly pro-life.

I knew that by being so insistent on carrying that position, he just wasn't a very credible candidate, and didn't, as has been said of Fred Thompson, want it enough. At least not to jeopardize his Decisive Leader persona. So that cooled my enthusiasm for Giuliani an awful lot (and I was big on Giuliani long ago, as many of you know).

I wasn't sure how he was going to address the abortion question, but I never imagined he would just stand at a podium at a debate and say "I'm pro-choice, that's what I am..." somewhat apologetically, but without offering much of a reason for pro-lifers to overlook that fact.

digg this
posted by Ace at 06:10 PM

| Access Comments

Recent Comments
Your Decidedly Devious Uncle Palpatine, Booking Agent, Aero Pinochet: "Dear Santa - This year, I've been very good, for s ..."

Bear with Assymetrical Balls: "I still have my Charlie Brown Christmas LP from wh ..."

Miklos, not from Fusion anything: "Oh Lord. Now Palp has another fundraising oppor ..."

Cicero (@cicero): "We have all these eucalyptus trees in CA through t ..."

JAS: "OK shitheads. Here is the story of eucalyptus in ..."

no good deed : "I like the "they say" it translates to Caucasian. ..."

logprof: "Wow, a Herman Cain sighting. ..."

Northernlurker : "Stop with the mariaci music. ..."

ALH: "The news showed film of the California wild fires. ..."

Blanco Basura - It's OK, I'm with the banned: "[i]Middlin'. How are you?[/i]Sick, but better the ..."

Cicero (@cicero): "Is this the ONT? Like Shep Smith's sexuality, the ..."

logprof: "Mark Knopfler himself has self edited that song. S ..."

Recent Entries

Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64