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July 31, 2007

Surprise: ARG Poll Shows Rudy Ahead In NH, Iowa

J-Pod mentioning it in a "highly conditional tone" given some people's skepticism about ARG.

Assuming it's true -- or at least mostly true, i.e., Rudy is either tied or nearly tied with Romney for the lead and may overtake him any day now -- that would pretty much seal the deal for Rudy, given his popularity in Florida. Thompson would have to work mighty hard indeed to displace the guy who's ahead in the national polls as well as the important early primary states.

I think Thompson could do it, but it wouldn't be the old math of Thompson stepping in and becoming the front-runner. He'd merely be a second-placer with a good chance.


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posted by Ace at 02:18 PM

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