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November 06, 2006

I Don't Want To Say It's In The Bag, But...

Okay, it's not really in the bag. Not even close. What we're facing here, folks, even given the fact that the polls skew in favor of Democrats, is as dauting as an 8-8 team needing help from three different teams in order to back-door its way into the playoffs.

We are not mathematically out of it-- but a hell of a lot of things need to break our way to win this.

Still, I take some solace in Mary Katherine Ham's catch:

Last night on Fox, I heard a Democratic strategist on Fox touting the "energized youth vote" as the key to victory, and claiming those cell-phone-only kids weren't being accurately polled, which had a panicky feel to it. I was encouraged. You know why? What does that sound like? Oh, that's right--2004, and 2002, and 2000. Listen, if you rely on college kids to put you over the edge, you're going down.

She's right. I keep hearing today the same crap I heard about in 2004 -- like the fact that so many "young people" now rely on cell-phones, and we can't poll them. And presumably they're 90% Democrats, because hey, anyone who's tech-edge must be politically enlightened, right?

Do geeks skew Democrat? I don't think so. I think geeks skew extreme, either extremely liberal, extremely libertarian, extremely conservative, or extremely apolitical (i.e., extremely into World of Warcraft). A lot of people are giving up on landlines lately, and it's not merely these cutting-edge college-age hipsters and their newfangled talkie whatsits.

The idea that it's just liberals giving up on landline phones would come as a surprise to many frequent internet users, who are giving up on landlines in a big way, and who, of couse, skew Republican.

This isn't a proof they're seriously worried, but it does suggest their confidence is shaken. Because you don't start talking about the "energized youth vote" and "hipster liberals too cool for landline phones" unless you're looking for additional, almost certainly phantasmal support you're starting to worry you just might need.

And, of course, will not get.

Via ALF, with a big blogopshere election-prediction round-up. Including Peter Beinert of TNR also crying raaaaaacism.

And not, of course, because whitebread Maryland liberals won't give a hard-workin' brotha a chance.

He also tells me St. Andrew Of The Sacred Heart-Ache, dedicated opponent of bigotry (except against Jews, who, quite frankly, kind of have been asking for it lately), is crying raaaaacism too.

No link for Shrill Shill. I'll just post what he posted, like he does with the rest of the blogosphere. I think I'll even just swipe his bandwidth.

Raaaaaacist!


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posted by Ace at 06:29 PM

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