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July 17, 2006

Israel's War Plans?

Does it have a plan, per se? Or is it just making it up as it goes along?

I don't mean that as an insult. Unlike some people, like St. Andi of the Beagles, I think war is mostly making stuff along as you go. As they say, a plan never survives first contact with the enemy.

At any rate, Allah sums up the two possible plans:

Two interesting strategic analyses making the blog rounds this morning. One, from the Washington Times, alleges a four-stage Israeli attack plan; the blockade is part of stage one and is intended principally to coerce the Lebanese government into sending its army south to confront Hezbollah. The other strategy comes from John at OpFor, who says the blockade is actually designed to trap Hezbollah inside the country so that when the inevitable ground invasion begins, they have nowhere to run.

Both plans, he says, rely upon the Lebanese government helping trap Hezbollah and taking action against them. Which, he notes, is not particularly likely.

As Benecio Del Toro said in The Way of the Gun, "A plan is just a list of things that ain't gonna happen."


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posted by Ace at 07:16 PM

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