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November 02, 2004

Final Poll Round Up: Ahead in 7, Tied in 2, Behind in 2

But President is above crucial 50% mark in only a single poll

I don't know how much that last tid-bit matters. You don't really need to be above 50%; you need to be above around 49%.

The Washington Times digests the final polls.

I'm going to say it right now: I'm worried. Very worried. I think that Bush is actually a little behind at the moment, and I think he's going to have to have an awfully good day to win this thing.

Not to be a defeatist-- hey, it's Voting Day. Not much left to do (except vote, of course-- have you voted?) But I've got to be honest-- I've been quietly predicting a Bush loss for a week.

(Well, as those who routinely call me a big fat defeatist wussy might argue, I've been predicting that via subtext for a month.)

Bush needs almost all his potential voters to actually pull the lever for him. If the Patriotic Majority does so, he will win. If a lot of his voters decide, as they did in 2000, that maybe voting isn't so important, he'll almost certainly lose.


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posted by Ace at 12:08 PM

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