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October 26, 2004

The First Votes Are In

George Bush Leads, But Not Nearly Comfortably

Newsmax:

ABC News reported Tuesday that polling of people who have already voted shows George Bush with the lead over John Kerry by a significant margin, 51% to 47%.

The network reports that this early voting represents 1 in every ten voters who will likely vote through Election Day.

But the poll results "doesn't mean Bush is 'winning' the absentee vote; the difference is within sampling tolerances. And among all likely voters, including those waiting for Election Day, the race is essentially tied: Forty-nine percent support Kerry and 48 percent Bush, with 1 percent for Ralph Nader in interviews Friday through Monday."

More at Newsmax-- Democrats say Ohio and Florida look good for them, but then, what else would they say?

I don't know how to take this number. On the one hand, Bush is ahead. On the other hand, I have a feeling he should be more ahead among early voters. On the third, Zaphod Beeblebrox hand, if it's true that Democrats are especially animated and energized this election, maybe these numbers mean that they're not quite energized enough.

Time will tell.

Bud quotes Zaphod: "Put your analyst on danger money, baby." I hear that.

Kim Richards Suitability Update: The lead isn't strong enough for a Kim Richards siren. Sorry.


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posted by Ace at 07:33 PM

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