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Could There Actually Be a Bounce?
August 30, 2004
Bush Now Ahead in WI in Third Poll-- The Big One, Gallup
A three-point lead, 48-45%, among likely voters, which was also the Rasmussen finding.
Looks like the Beltway Boys are going to have to take Wisconsin out of Kerry's column on next Saturday's show, eh?
But there's more.
He's also now tied in Pennsylvania, 47-47 (also among likelies).
“It's hard to do the Electoral College calculation and not figure that if Kerry can't win Pennsylvania, he can't win the presidency,” says G. Terry Madonna, a professor at Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster, Pa., and director of the statewide Keystone Poll.
Dat's why they calls it the Keystone State. Kerry can't win without either Pennsylvania or Wisconsin, and he needs both to have a realistic chance of winning.
(Bush is narrowly behind among registered voters in both states, but who cares?)
Thumb's Up, Buddy!
Update: Another poll shows Bush narrowly ahead in must-win Florida, 48-46.