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June 11, 2004
Rasmussen: Mini-Surge for Bush
I suppose it should probably just be attributed to Reagan nostalgia and the fact that the press hasn't been able to beat the Abu Ghraib bongos effectively for a week. It's probably ephemeral, and doesn't mean anything.
But Rasmussen Reports is showing a surge for Bush (and congressional Republicans) in just about every measure:
* Head to Head: Bush 47%, Kerry 44% (Bush up two, Kerry down one from yesterday)
* Generic Congressional: Dem 42%, Rep 38% (stubborn Dem lead narrowed by 2)
* 54% prefer Bush on National Defense, highest in two months
* 26% Say Terrorists Winning... Lowest Level in Six Weeks
* 40% Say Economy Getting Better; Highest Since January
* Consumer Confidence Index highest since January
* 43% Say Bush Good or Excellent on Iraq Highest reading in seven weeks
and
* Bush Job Approval at 52%; it's bounced between 50 and 52 of late
So it looks like Bush is rebounding. Partly on the de-escalation of violence in Iraq, partly on the improving economy, which the public is finally starting to register.
It like Joshua Micah Christopher Thomas Steffan Geoffrey Tavington-Cavendish Marshall's semi-prediction of Bush's job approval falling into the thirties was, shockingly enough, hyperpartisan hackery.
"Where's the floor?" Joshy wanted to know.
Well, the floor now looks around 50%.