MORNING RANT: The Year Without Hurricanes, Despite NOAA Predicting an “Above Normal” Hurricane Season

2025 is shaping up as the “Year Without a Hurricane Season.” We are now well past the peak of hurricane season, and there have been no hurricane landfalls, as overall tropical activity has been minimal.

Of course, the professional climate hysterics at NOAA had predicted a very active, “above normal” hurricane season last spring, because that is the only forecast they are allowed to make. Fealty to the Church of Climate requires that all long-range weather forecasts of any type always be “worse than average” due to global warming.

“NOAA predicts above-normal 2025 Atlantic hurricane season; Above-average Atlantic Ocean temperatures set the stage” [NOAA Press Release – 5/22/2025]

NOAA’s outlook for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which goes from June 1 to November 30, predicts a 30% chance of a near-normal season, a 60% chance of an above-normal season, and a 10% chance of a below-normal season.

The agency is forecasting a range of 13 to 19 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, 6-10 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3-5 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA has a 70% confidence in these ranges.

As shown in the graph below from Accuweather, the frequency of tropical storms and hurricanes is highest from mid-August to late-September. To have an above-normal hurricane season, the peak months of hurricane season should have been very active.

That was not the case. 2025 has turned out to be a very rare year - one in which no hurricanes made landfall in the U.S. by the end of September.

“First hurricane season in 10 years that no hurricanes have made landfall in the US through the end of September” [Accuweather – 10/01/2025]

But not only were there no hurricanes making landfall during the peak of hurricane season, there was an unprecedented period of zero tropical activity at all, not even a tropical depression (a storm with winds below 39 mph that has some level of circulation.)

“The Atlantic’s remarkable 20-day quiet period finally ends” [Yale Climate Connections]

According to Michael Lowry, the period August 29–September 16 has never before gone without a named storm or tropical depression since satellite data began in 1966. On average, four named storms and two hurricanes form each season during this period.

It was in 1966 that satellites made it possible to identify and monitor tropical storms beyond the range of hurricane hunter aircraft. This obviously increased the number of named storms, since those storms that spun in the open Atlantic and then dissipated had previously gone unnamed. But in 2025, there was an unprecedented lack of activity in the Atlantic during the peak of hurricane season.

Exactly one named storm has made landfall in the U.S. at all this year. Tropical Storm Chantal had winds exceeding 39 mph for less than 24 hours before it drifted ashore in South Carolina on July 6. That was over three months ago, and the season is now winding down.

The only other storm to hit the mainland was Tropical Storm Barry, which had max winds of just 40 mph, and was a named storm for only a few hours as it drifted ashore in Mexico. Before climate apocalysm necessitated the naming of every gust of wind exceeding 38 mph, Barry would likely not have been considered a tropical storm.

In total, there have been ten named storms (as I type this on October 9), six tropical storms and four hurricanes. Other than harassing some islands, the four hurricanes have just drifted around the Atlantic before dissipating. Regarding the tropical storms, they have been minimal storms at best. Per NOAA’s page https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/ documenting this season’s storms, none of the six tropical storms had max winds that even exceeded 55 mph.

One of the hurricanes that fizzled out in the open Atlantic, Hurricane Erin, at one point had maximum winds of 140 mph, making it a category 4 storm (on a scale of 1 to 5). That was enough for the media to fire up the climate hysteria and frame it as perhaps the worst hurricane in history:

“Hurricane Erin is one of the fastest rapidly intensifying storms in Atlantic history” [CNN – 8/17/2025]

“‘Near historical’ Hurricane Erin among largest storms ever recorded in the Atlantic at over 500 miles wide” [NY Post – 8/21/2025]

Hurricane season runs through the end of November, and there is still time for some more storms to blow up, and possibly even make landfall in the continental U.S. But that doesn’t change the fact that this has been an historically mild hurricane season.

Hurricanes are an amazingly destructive force of nature that have always existed, and always will. They need to be taken very seriously. An abnormally light season – or a busier than normal season – have nothing to do with humans engaging in carbon-fueled lifestyles. The fact that our national weather agency employs scientifically-compromised partisans posing as weather experts and pushing climate hysteria is extremely dangerous. When it comes to hurricanes, we need NOAA to be objective and honest. The fact that it puts out propaganda each year to scare people before every hurricane season is discrediting, and it’s a huge disservice to American citizens who deserve a reputable weather agency.

Last year, Bill Nye the Science Guy said the best way to stop hurricanes was to vote for Kamala Harris.

This year, the United States marked its first hurricane-free September in a decade.

Moral of the story? Stop listening to climate alarmists. pic.twitter.com/GUlxcTewD4

— Daniel Turner (@DanielTurnerPTF) October 6, 2025

[buck.throckmorton at protonmail dot com]

posted by Buck Throckmorton at 11:00 AM

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