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September 25, 2024
Gallup: The Polling Environment Is Very Favorable to RepublicansI haven't been covering the polls because a lot of them favor Kamala. Not all of them. There's not a clear advantage, really. But this Gallup polling is interesting. Gallup finds that its proxies for voter intention -- stuff like party identification, or answers to questions like "which party is better able to handle the most important issues?" -- all point to a Republican win (or, in a few cases, show no advantage for either party). Nearly all Gallup measures that have shown some relationship to past presidential election outcomes or that speak to current perceptions of the two major parties favor the Republican Party over the Democratic Party. Chief among these are Republican advantages in U.S. adults' party identification and leanings, the belief that the GOP rather than the Democratic Party is better able to handle the most important problem facing the country, Americans' dissatisfaction with the state of the nation, and negative evaluations of the economy with a Democratic administration in office. Here's the big one: Which party do you identify with? Right now, we're in one of those rare situations where more people say they're Republican than Democrat.
Read the full article for more. The below chart shows that the most strongly predictive and even the moderately predictive measures favor Republicans, and Democrats only manage to tie on a few less-important metrics. And it gets worse: Consumer confidence just plunged the most in three years. Axios (Politico4Kidz): The big picture: The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index fell almost 7 points to 98.7 in September -- the biggest monthly drop since September 2021. Best economy since nineteen aughty-naught, Fat.
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Thank God It's Friday Eve Cafe
You're Not Going to Believe This, But Michael Eric Dyson Thinks He Knows Why People Are Saying He Was Trying to Sext a Woman He's Not Married To Even the NY Times Admits That Stephanie Ruhle Is a Hardcore Kamala Harris Partisan Who Did Not Press Her on Any Issues, Says Kamala Harris Failed to Offer Any Substantive Answers Good News: North Carolina Election Board Successfully Sued Into Removing Nearly 750,000 Ineligible Voters from Voter Rolls Whistleblower: Trump Forced to Cancel Wisconsin Rally Due to Biden Refusing the Most Targeted Man on Earth Sufficient Secret Service Resources Tim Walz's Education Secretary Strongly Supports CRT as a Way to "Overthrow" American Society; Biden's Commerce Secretary Calls for Trump to be "Extinguished for Good" NYC Democrat Mayor Eric Adams Indicted by Feds for Bribery, Wire Fraud, Soliciting "Donations" From Foreign Agents The Morning Rant: Minimalist Edition Mid-Morning Art Thread The Morning Report — 9/26/24 Search
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