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DONALD JOHN TRUMP, THE 45th AND 47TH PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES, TO BE INAUGURATED AT NOON; "CONVICTED FELON" TRIUMPHS OVER CORRUPT MEDIA AND CRIMINAL DEEP STATE
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July 10, 2024
Pew Research Survey: Republicans Are Now The Largest Political Party in AmericaNate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
But a very large survey from Pew now shows Republicans with a +1 party identification edge. Meanwhile, an Emmerson poll says that Trump beats every possible Democrat replacement candidate. David Strom: The poll, taken over the past two days, is a high-water mark for Trump showing him close to breaking the 50% mark in most matchups, although it is interesting to see that Biden and Harris do the best against Trump and are at equal support, although Trump actually does the best against Harris. Obviously this is a good poll, and not just for the main reason. It's a great result not just because it predicts a Trump win, no matter who the opponent, but because it buttresses Biden's main argument for remaining in the race: I'm the best one to take on Trump. And even if he's not actually "the best" to take on Trump, no one can argue that they would beat Trump, either. So why change horses midstream and etc.? Unless some possible replacement candidate shows that he consistently polls ahead of Trump, Biden will dig in his heels, justifiably, and say "No one is beating Trump right now, all of us would need a break or October Surprise to beat him, so why shouldn't I be the candidate waiting for that October Surprise instead of Gretchen Whitmer?" On the other hand, the polls are becoming increasingly bleak for Biden. The Cook Political Report just shifted six states to the GOP's column. The states affected by this shift--Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Nevada--are crucial battlegrounds that could determine the next occupant of the White House. Each of these states showed a marked movement towards the Republican Party, attributed largely to Biden's perceived debate disaster. New York state has become competitive -- a real horrorshow for the Democrats. Biden won New York in 2020 by twenty-two points, 56% to Trump's 34%. And now? Biden leads by an average of 7.5%. That's still a pretty solid lead for Biden, but that is a lead that could be overcome, particularly if Biden continues losing support generally, and if Democrat voters then become discouraged and vote at a lower propensity. President Joe Biden is witnessing a notable decline in support from New York voters, traditionally a reliable Democratic base. According to recent polls, Biden's approval ratings have taken a sharp downturn, raising concerns among Democratic strategists about the state's political future. Trump will make a big play for New York both to depress Democrat turnout in other states -- if New York is in play, then the election is over, and you might as well not vote, and you might as well not cast fraudulent votes either -- and also because it would really please his ego to win his home state. | Recent Comments
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DONALD JOHN TRUMP, THE 45th AND 47TH PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES, TO BE INAUGURATED AT NOON; "CONVICTED FELON" TRIUMPHS OVER CORRUPT MEDIA AND CRIMINAL DEEP STATE
Biden Pardons: Fauci, Cheney, Milley et al Cannot Refuse to Testify About their Illegal Actions Now that They Have Immunity Due to Their Pardons Mid-Morning Art Thread The Morning Report — 1/20/25 Daily Tech News 20 January 2025 Sunday Overnight Open Thread - January 19, 2025 [Doof] Gun Thread: T-Minus 17 Hours Edition! Food Thread: "Unidentified Slime," My favorite Ingredient! First-World Problems... Senile Octogenarian Molestation Suspect Begins New Career As Constitutional Scholar Search
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