In the UK, Reform Vaults Ahead of the Collapsing Tories

The "Conservatives" in the UK enjoyed the same advantage that the pseud-right GOPe enjoys in the US: People hate the party, but won't split from it, because they feel that voting for a minor party would be throwing their vote away.

But now it appears that right-leaning voters are realizing something: The "Conservatives" themselves are now a minor party. Therefore, voting for them is throwing away a vote, and they're also awful on top of that.

So why not vote for the slightly less minor party, Reform?

Matt Goodwin @GoodwinMJ

NEW BOMBSHELL poll

Labour 35%
Reform 24%
Conservatives 15%
Liberal Democrats 12%
Greens 8%
SNP 3%

PeoplePolling/GBN Jun 18th
Sample: 1,228 British adults

The right will lose the battle, but if they destroy the fake "Conservative" Party that acts as the handmaiden of race-based Marxism, they might wind up winning the war.

Later.

Sometimes, things happen that completely knock you sideways. And today is one such moment. My firm People Polling, on behalf of its client GB News, surveyed a nationally representative sample of 1,228 British adults. We asked them how they plan to vote at the UK general election on July 4.

Here are our numbers:

Labour 35%

Reform 24%

Conservatives 15%

Liberal Democrats 12%

Greens 8%

SNP 3%

That's right. Nigel Farage and Reform are on 24%, in second place, and some 9-points clear of Rishi Sunak and the Tories.

Were the above numbers to appear at the general election, in only fifteen days time, then the result would be, well, seismic in more ways than one.

Keir Starmer and the Labour Party would win the election comfortably, with a Labour majority of around 240 seats.

The Tories would crash and burn, falling to only around 45 seats. The Lib Dems would finish with more seats than the Tories, on around 64. Nigel Farage and Reform would not be far behind, on around 50. And the Greens would win two.

Other polls don't yet show Reform pulling ahead of the "Conservatives:"

Furthermore, this evening several MRP polls are likewise pointing to a large Labour majority and putting the Tories on only around 50-108 seats.

One, by YouGov, puts Reform on 15% of the vote and gives Farage & Co. five seats.

But this pollster points out they were the first to detect the collapse of the "Conservatives," which everyone else now confirms:

Matt Goodwin @GoodwinMJ

Do read the Substack. I've been as open & transparent as poss. We were widely criticised by established pollsters months ago for showing a Tory collapse. We were ahead of the curve. Now we are showing a big Reform surge. Who knows, maybe we're ahead of the curve now

If more polls come out confirming this result, expect most right-leaning voters to dump the sure losers of the "Conservative" Party and vote instead for a better party with a more realistic chance of success.

And if that does happen, then maybe American conservatives will take heart and find the courage to do likewise.

Or maybe the GOP will have the smarts and wisdom to see this outcome coming, and change directions before it's too late.

LOL, just kidding. The GOP will never, ever do that, and never, ever see an obvious disaster coming before it has already befallen them.

posted by Disinformation Expert Ace at 02:00 PM

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