THE MORNING RANT: Aside from the Rampant Climate Fraud, It Is a Statistical Certainty That Thousands of Record High Temperatures Will be Set Each Year

The government/media propaganda campaign about the climate hoax has reached a fever pitch, and it is clear that what used to be called “summer” is now going to be an annual hysteria about “extreme” heat and dangerous “record” temperatures.

The media and governmental weather agencies are going wall-to-wall right now with a scare campaign that is both scientifically fraudulent and historically dishonest. They are conflating recent surface temperatures (ground level) with historical record air temperatures (2 meters above the ground.) They report heat indexes as if they are temperatures, and then contrast heat indexes to actual historical thermometer readings. Temperatures over 90°F (32°C) are being reported as too hot for human survival, with temperature maps now painted redder than lava. Heat warnings are being issued throughout Europe for temperatures that are only in the 80s (Fahrenheit.)

But aside from the dishonest weather reporting, on average there are still going to be thousands of genuine, fraud-free, record high temperatures every year. It is a statistical certainty which has nothing to do with there being unprecedented heat.

I had a post at Ace of Spades HQ last summer explaining this (“Record Heat!” When Heat Waves Are Reported By The Statistically Ignorant) and I think I’ll just need to re-run the core statistical explanation from that piece every summer, since it is clear that summer heat is going to be reported as something new and terrifying by our corrupt media every year. Here is the meat of that piece:

Every summer, there are heat waves somewhere on the globe, with “record heat” recorded in multiple locations. Along with these heat waves, the prophets of climate apocalypse warn that all these “extreme” new temperature records are proof of global warming.

First off, temperature records have been kept, depending on location, for about 100 to 140 years. Let’s split the difference and call it 120 years on average. Each weather station has a historical “record high” for each day of the year, and also a “record low” for each day of the year. Therefore, with 365 record high and 365 record low temperatures at each station over the past 120 years, an equal distribution (e.g. 365 divided by 120) would mean that each station records about 3 record highs and 3 record lows every year.

How many times have you heard a fear-mongering journalist or politician hyping “an all-time record high for this date at the South Succotash weather station.” So what? Statistically, anything less than three record highs per year at South Succotash is below average.

And how many weather stations are there in the US? NOAA’s domestic database is composed of almost 15,000 weather stations.

So with 15,000 weather stations across the US, and with each expected to have on average 3 record highs per year, there should be approximately 45,000 record daily highs per year in the United States.

Any MSM journalist reading this is probably already lost and unable to comprehend that “new record highs” doesn’t simply mean “hotter than it used to be,” but if they’re still with me, their follow-up question might be: “But what about meteorological stations that are suddenly recording an all-time record high temperature, ever?”

OK, let’s do some math again. There are over 22,000 European meteorological reporting stations across Europe and the Mediterranean. 22,000 stations divided by 120 years means that on average there should be 183 European weather stations that report an all-time, record-high temperature, each and every year.

Of course, “average” doesn’t mean “normal,” some years have nasty heat waves with lots of new records, and others are milder with no new records.

And don’t forget, when there are record low temperatures, the climatistas still blame “climate change” for “extreme weather.” Everything I wrote about record highs up above applies to record lows – there are just as many.

Aside from the math up above, don’t forget just how dishonest climate science has become. Remember how NOAA was caught systematically altering historical temperature records to create warming trends that did not exist before they made the adjustments?

The Stunning Statistical Fraud Behind The Global Warming Scare [Investors Business Daily – 3/29/2018]

NOAA has made repeated "adjustments" to its data, for the presumed scientific reason of making the data sets more accurate.

Nothing wrong with that. Except, all their changes point to one thing — lowering previously measured temperatures to show cooler weather in the past, and raising more recent temperatures to show warming in the recent present.

The most primitive religious belief of humans underlies the climate hysteria – that bad weather is caused by sinful human behavior, and if the virtuous don’t stop the sinners, then apocalypse is imminent.

It’s way past time to stop listening to the statistically ignorant evangelists of climate science, and start mocking their ignorance and credulousness instead.

Before I close for the day, let’s look at some of the over-the-top media coverage of this year’s summer heat…

Look at this hellish heat map from NOAA. This looks terrifyingly hot. What does it represent? Everything in red is where there is a projected 50% or greater possibility that temperatures will be hotter than average six to ten days out.

What does that mean? Nothing. It means absolutely nothing at all. Take a look at northwest Iowa. Sioux City’s average high temperature in July is 86 degrees. Per this graph, there is a 60% chance that in the next 10 days Sioux City will reach 87 degrees on at least one day. Thus, it is color coded the same as bubbling lava. This is nothing but a terrifying propaganda picture.

The next picture below is from the BBC last week. In the white boxes are the extreme temperatures (in Celsius) that the BBC reported. Those are surface (ground) temperatures. The actual air temperatures have been superimposed in purple.

So despite the unprecedented 47°C (117°F) that the BBC reported in Sicily, the actual air temperature was actually a normal 34°C (93°F).

If there’s any confusion about surface versus air temperatures, think about being barefoot in summer. The air won’t burn the bottom of your feet, but the pavement will. That is the difference.

If you’d like to read more about the institutional fraud and media malpractice that went into the temperature hysteria in Europe last week, “Watts Up With That” had a good piece a few days ago explaining it all.

Europe’s “48°C Horror That Never Was”…European Space Agency, Media Sharply Criticized For Manipulative Reporting

This New York Times headline makes me smile, because I appreciate the honesty: ”Hotter Europe Poses a Threat to Older Adults; Extreme Temperatures Are the New Covid”

Yes, government’s ability to manufacture and manipulate fear during Covid was a clear test-drive for the eco-communism our globalist overlords seek to impose on us.

This makes me happy because just about every elite person and institution associated with the Covid response is now widely discredited. Those are pretty much the same people pushing the climate hysteria.

[buck.throckmorton at protonmail dot com]

posted by Buck Throckmorton at 11:00 AM

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